MatchWiz
Home Runs · Sunday, May 3, 2026

PHI @ MIA Home Runs matchups · Sunday, May 3, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
72
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

PHI PHI Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 BF
Season.02773 BF
Last 2 Years.045549 BF
wOBA allowed.338
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 BF
Season.05455 BF
Last 2 Years.039512 BF
wOBA allowed.371
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA
Season.03196 PA
Last 2 Years.031815 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.05455 PA
Last 2 Years.039512 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022185 PA
Season.023481 PA
Last 2 Years.0292803 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.455
Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.148

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.052

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08137 PA
Season.10685 PA
Last 2 Years.070897 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.02773 PA
Last 2 Years.045549 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA
Season.018569 PA
Last 2 Years.0272735 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.351
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.273

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.03782 PA
Last 2 Years.047766 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.02773 PA
Last 2 Years.045549 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA
Season.018569 PA
Last 2 Years.0272735 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.341
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.364
Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.174

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.01286 PA
Last 2 Years.019798 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.05455 PA
Last 2 Years.039512 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022185 PA
Season.023481 PA
Last 2 Years.0292803 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.098

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06730 PA
Season.04686 PA
Last 2 Years.030733 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.02773 PA
Last 2 Years.045549 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA
Season.018569 PA
Last 2 Years.0272735 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~2.1× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.153

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.02246 PA
Last 2 Years.026643 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.05455 PA
Last 2 Years.039512 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022185 PA
Season.023481 PA
Last 2 Years.0292803 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances10

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.12

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.00085 PA
Last 2 Years.021887 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.02773 PA
Last 2 Years.045549 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA
Season.018569 PA
Last 2 Years.0272735 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.097

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.05455 PA
Last 2 Years.039512 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022185 PA
Season.023481 PA
Last 2 Years.0292803 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.128

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.00084 PA
Last 2 Years.00084 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.02773 PA
Last 2 Years.045549 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA
Season.018569 PA
Last 2 Years.0272735 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.111

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

MIA MIA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 BF
Season.02934 BF
Last 2 Years.017234 BF
wOBA allowed.277
Hard-Hit %16%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 BF
Season.018111 BF
Last 2 Years.023831 BF
wOBA allowed.317
Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.02737 PA
Last 2 Years.014358 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.018111 PA
Last 2 Years.023831 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028251 PA
Season.022491 PA
Last 2 Years.0244202 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances15

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.02934 PA
Last 2 Years.035200 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.018111 PA
Last 2 Years.023831 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028251 PA
Season.022491 PA
Last 2 Years.0244202 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.151

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.00016 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.02934 PA
Last 2 Years.017234 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021193 PA
Season.020404 PA
Last 2 Years.0283040 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.141

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00032 PA
Last 2 Years.025196 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.018111 PA
Last 2 Years.023831 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028251 PA
Season.022491 PA
Last 2 Years.0244202 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.00031 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.02934 PA
Last 2 Years.017234 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021193 PA
Season.020404 PA
Last 2 Years.0283040 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.124

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.034266 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.018111 PA
Last 2 Years.023831 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028251 PA
Season.022491 PA
Last 2 Years.0244202 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2.6× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.131

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.02193 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.018111 PA
Last 2 Years.023831 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028251 PA
Season.022491 PA
Last 2 Years.0244202 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.111

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.03132 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.018111 PA
Last 2 Years.023831 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028251 PA
Season.022491 PA
Last 2 Years.0244202 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.113

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00024 PA
Last 2 Years.017177 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.018111 PA
Last 2 Years.023831 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028251 PA
Season.022491 PA
Last 2 Years.0244202 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.231
Plate Appearances13

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.105

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.