Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, June 10, 2026)?

Chris Sale (ATL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.7 K against CWS. A 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, June 10, 2026: Chris Sale (~6.7 K), Reid Detmers (~6.3 K), Shohei Ohtani (~6.0 K), George Kirby (~5.3 K), Michael King (~5.6 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Today

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, June 10, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

1:10 PM ET

BOSaway

TBhomeTop matchup56 1:10 PM ET

NYYaway

CLEhomeTop matchup52 3:45 PM ET

WSHaway

SFhomeTop matchup53 4:10 PM ET

CINaway

SDhomeTop matchup59 6:35 PM ET

SEAaway

BALhomeTop matchup61 6:40 PM ET

LADaway

PIThomeTop matchup79 6:40 PM ET

MINaway

DEThomeTop matchup11 6:40 PM ET

AZaway

MIAhomeTop matchup25 7:07 PM ET

PHIaway

TORhomeTop matchup42 7:10 PM ET

STLaway

NYMhomeTop matchup25 7:40 PM ET

ATLaway

CWShomeTop matchup100 7:40 PM ET

TEXaway

KChomeTop matchup41 8:40 PM ET

CHCaway

COLhomeTop matchup57 9:05 PM ET

MILaway

ATHhomeTop matchup24 9:38 PM ET

HOUaway

LAAhomeTop matchup92

PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 28 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.5% K/BF

vs LHB27.8%

vs RHB26.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Sam Antonacci (L)23.2%3.0

2. Miguel Vargas (R)17.1%3.0

3. Andrew Benintendi (L)28.1%3.0

4. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.0%3.0

5. Chase Meidroth (R)19.8%3.0

6. Braden Montgomery (R)22.0%3.0

7. Randal Grichuk (R)22.1%2.3

8. Derek Hill (R)27.3%2.0

9. Drew Romo (R)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.3% K/BF

vs LHB24.4%

vs RHB27.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)18.5%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)19.3%3.0

3. Shay Whitcomb (R)24.2%3.0

4. Isaac Paredes (R)20.7%3.0

5. Jose Altuve (R)21.1%3.0

6. Brice Matthews (R)28.8%2.3

7. Cam Smith (R)23.2%2.0

8. Jake Meyers (R)21.4%2.0

9. Collin Price (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.4% K/BF

vs LHB27.1%

vs RHB25.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nick Gonzales (R)17.1%3.0

2. Endy Rodríguez (L)22.7%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)21.4%3.0

4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.4%3.0

5. Marcell Ozuna (R)25.1%3.0

6. Davis Wendzel (R)25.0%2.1

7. Jake Mangum (L)18.2%2.0

8. Jared Triolo (R)25.3%2.0

9. Henry Davis (R)22.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.0% K/BF

vs LHB19.8%

vs RHB22.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)22.7%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)22.1%3.0

3. Pete Alonso (R)22.0%3.0

4. Blaze Alexander (R)22.9%3.0

5. Leody Taveras (L)21.3%3.0

6. Coby Mayo (R)29.2%2.6

7. Jeremiah Jackson (R)19.9%2.0

8. Tyler O'Neill (R)21.2%2.0

9. Samuel Basallo (L)20.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.7% K/BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Blake Dunn (R)21.9%3.0

2. JJ Bleday (L)21.8%3.0

3. Sal Stewart (R)20.3%3.0

4. Spencer Steer (R)23.2%3.0

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)27.6%3.0

6. Noelvi Marte (R)21.3%2.0

7. Matt McLain (R)24.8%2.0

8. Tyler Stephenson (R)23.9%2.0

9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.7% K/BF

vs LHB25.5%

vs RHB20.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.0 BF

Expected batters faced24.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jake McCarthy (L)20.3%3.0

2. Willi Castro (R)22.3%3.0

3. TJ Rumfield (L)17.9%3.0

4. Hunter Goodman (R)31.6%3.0

5. Troy Johnston (L)18.3%3.0

6. Ezequiel Tovar (R)26.3%3.0

7. Cole Carrigg (R)22.0%2.0

8. Kyle Karros (R)22.9%2.0

9. Edouard Julien (L)24.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.0% K/BF

vs LHB24.8%

vs RHB23.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jarren Duran (L)26.1%3.0

2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)17.5%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)22.1%3.0

4. Willson Contreras (R)25.6%3.0

5. Masataka Yoshida (L)16.6%3.0

6. Mickey Gasper (L)20.5%2.0

7. Caleb Durbin (R)17.5%2.0

8. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)17.9%2.0

9. Marcelo Mayer (L)19.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.9% K/BF

vs LHB24.0%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Casey Schmitt (R)19.6%3.0

2. Rafael Devers (L)27.9%3.0

3. Luis Arraez (L)14.9%3.0

4. Willy Adames (R)25.6%3.0

5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)18.2%3.0

6. Bryce Eldridge (L)24.4%2.1

7. Matt Chapman (R)21.4%2.0

8. Eric Haase (R)24.0%2.0

9. Jonah Cox (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.6% K/BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB23.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Trent Grisham (L)20.3%3.0

2. Ben Rice (L)24.2%3.0

3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)17.1%3.0

4. Cody Bellinger (L)17.6%3.0

5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)27.3%2.9

6. Spencer Jones (L)22.0%2.0

7. Anthony Volpe (R)19.8%2.0

8. Ryan McMahon (L)26.0%2.0

9. J.C. Escarra (L)20.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.2% K/BF

vs LHB24.7%

vs RHB22.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)18.2%3.0

2. Nathan Lukes (L)20.9%3.0

3. Ernie Clement (R)15.0%3.0

4. Myles Straw (R)21.4%3.0

5. Daulton Varsho (L)21.6%3.0

6. Brandon Valenzuela (R)21.3%2.4

7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)22.7%2.0

8. Andrés Giménez (L)18.6%2.0

9. Charles McAdoo (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.8% K/BF

vs LHB21.6%

vs RHB19.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Joc Pederson (L)20.1%3.0

2. Corey Seager (L)21.3%3.0

3. Josh Jung (R)20.2%3.0

4. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.0%3.0

5. Wyatt Langford (R)20.9%3.0

6. Ezequiel Duran (R)22.7%3.0

7. Jake Burger (R)25.7%2.3

8. Evan Carter (L)23.3%2.0

9. Kyle Higashioka (R)23.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.1% K/BF

vs LHB23.2%

vs RHB24.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Patrick Bailey (R)25.3%3.0

2. José Ramírez (R)14.6%3.0

3. Chase DeLauter (L)18.6%3.0

4. Kyle Manzardo (L)23.4%3.0

5. Rhys Hoskins (R)26.4%2.1

6. Angel Martínez (R)20.4%2.0

7. Steven Kwan (L)17.8%2.0

8. Daniel Schneemann (L)24.9%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (R)19.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.6% K/BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB23.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Carter Jensen (L)22.9%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)15.7%3.0

3. Maikel Garcia (R)18.3%3.0

4. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)21.7%3.0

5. Salvador Perez (R)18.2%2.4

6. Jac Caglianone (L)25.2%2.0

7. Michael Massey (L)23.1%2.0

8. Isaac Collins (R)23.0%2.0

9. Tyler Tolbert (R)23.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.4% K/BF

vs LHB18.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Victor Robles (R)19.6%3.0

2. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.5%3.0

3. Randy Arozarena (R)20.8%3.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)15.0%3.0

5. Dominic Canzone (L)20.4%3.0

6. Patrick Wisdom (R)23.6%2.8

7. Mitch Garver (R)27.8%2.0

8. Cole Young (L)18.0%2.0

9. Ryan Bliss (R)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.9% K/BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB22.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)26.7%3.0

2. Luis García Jr. (L)20.6%3.0

3. Andrés Chaparro (R)21.5%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)24.0%3.0

5. Dylan Crews (R)20.4%2.5

6. Jacob Young (R)19.2%2.0

7. Keibert Ruiz (R)18.7%2.0

8. Jorbit Vivas (L)19.8%2.0

9. Nasim Nuñez (R)20.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.1% K/BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB22.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Alex Call (R)19.5%3.0

2. Andy Pages (R)20.3%3.0

3. Miguel Rojas (R)15.9%3.0

4. Mookie Betts (R)16.9%3.0

5. Santiago Espinal (R)20.0%2.6

6. Kyle Tucker (L)20.1%2.0

7. Ryan Ward (L)22.7%2.0

8. Dalton Rushing (L)23.0%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (L)23.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.6% K/BF

vs LHB23.6%

vs RHB17.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)27.1%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)24.3%3.0

3. Jose Siri (R)24.8%3.0

4. Jo Adell (R)24.9%3.0

5. Denzer Guzman (R)24.3%3.0

6. Nick Madrigal (R)17.6%2.4

7. Nolan Schanuel (L)18.8%2.0

8. Oswald Peraza (R)24.4%2.0

9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)25.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness19.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Yandy Díaz (R)17.8%3.0

2. Junior Caminero (R)16.0%3.0

3. Chandler Simpson (L)17.4%3.0

4. Ryan Vilade (R)22.1%3.0

5. Austin Slater (R)25.9%2.6

6. Cedric Mullins (L)17.5%2.0

7. Ben Williamson (R)22.7%2.0

8. Nick Fortes (R)18.2%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (R)21.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.6% K/BF

vs LHB17.8%

vs RHB21.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.5 BF

Expected batters faced24.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Liam Hicks (L)12.8%3.0

2. Otto Lopez (R)18.3%3.0

3. Kyle Stowers (L)28.8%3.0

4. Xavier Edwards (L)15.0%3.0

5. Javier Sanoja (R)15.8%3.0

6. Esteury Ruiz (R)25.7%3.0

7. Jakob Marsee (L)20.0%2.5

8. Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0

9. Connor Norby (R)26.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.4% K/BF

vs LHB21.5%

vs RHB18.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Carson Benge (L)21.6%3.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)19.9%3.0

3. Juan Soto (L)16.9%3.0

4. Jared Young (L)24.1%3.0

5. A.J. Ewing (L)27.1%2.9

6. Marcus Semien (R)19.6%2.0

7. Brett Baty (L)25.5%2.0

8. Mark Vientos (R)24.3%2.0

9. Francisco Alvarez (R)22.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.8% K/BF

vs LHB22.9%

vs RHB19.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Shea Langeliers (R)20.5%3.0

2. Nick Kurtz (L)25.8%3.0

3. Jeff McNeil (L)17.8%3.0

4. Brent Rooker (R)25.5%2.9

5. Carlos Cortes (L)13.7%2.0

6. Tyler Soderstrom (L)17.5%2.0

7. Henry Bolte (R)24.5%2.0

8. Zack Gelof (R)25.5%2.0

9. Alika Williams (R)27.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.4% K/BF

vs LHB15.5%

vs RHB22.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.6 BF

Expected batters faced20.6

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Kyle Schwarber (L)30.3%3.0

2. Trea Turner (R)22.8%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)19.5%2.6

4. Brandon Marsh (L)21.6%2.0

5. Alec Bohm (R)16.8%2.0

6. Bryson Stott (L)19.5%2.0

7. J.T. Realmuto (R)22.2%2.0

8. Adolis García (R)30.9%2.0

9. Steward Berroa (L)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.7% K/BF

vs LHB24.7%

vs RHB23.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.3 BF

Expected batters faced16.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Christian Yelich (L)27.3%2.0

2. Jackson Chourio (R)22.4%2.0

3. Brice Turang (L)22.8%2.0

4. William Contreras (R)16.6%2.0

5. Blake Perkins (L)24.8%2.0

6. Andrew Vaughn (R)17.7%2.0

7. Garrett Mitchell (L)31.7%2.0

8. Luis Rengifo (L)13.8%1.3

9. David Hamilton (L)20.9%1.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.4% K/BF

vs LHB18.5%

vs RHB19.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.5%3.0

2. Pedro Ramírez (L)22.0%3.0

3. Michael Busch (L)22.9%3.0

4. Alex Bregman (R)18.1%3.0

5. Ian Happ (L)26.0%3.0

6. Seiya Suzuki (R)24.9%2.1

7. Nico Hoerner (R)10.8%2.0

8. Carson Kelly (R)18.2%2.0

9. Dansby Swanson (R)23.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.4% K/BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB22.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.9 BF

Expected batters faced18.9

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)17.4%2.9

2. Corbin Carroll (L)21.4%2.0

3. Gabriel Moreno (R)19.8%2.0

4. Nolan Arenado (R)21.8%2.0

5. Pavin Smith (L)23.6%2.0

6. Geraldo Perdomo (L)15.9%2.0

7. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)31.1%2.0

8. LuJames Groover (R)22.0%2.0

9. Tommy Troy (R)20.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.3% K/BF

vs LHB26.3%

vs RHB17.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)23.4%3.0

2. Brooks Lee (R)20.7%3.0

3. Ryan Kreidler (R)18.9%3.0

4. Josh Bell (R)24.2%3.0

5. Austin Martin (R)19.0%3.0

6. Victor Caratini (R)24.6%2.4

7. Royce Lewis (R)22.0%2.0

8. Luke Keaschall (R)17.8%2.0

9. Tristan Gray (L)26.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.2% K/BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB17.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)19.6%3.0

2. Jackson Merrill (L)23.9%3.0

3. Ty France (R)21.4%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)21.9%3.0

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.6%2.4

6. Gavin Sheets (L)21.7%2.0

7. Jase Bowen (R)22.0%2.0

8. Samad Taylor (R)21.6%2.0

9. Freddy Fermin (R)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.0% K/BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB24.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.4 BF

Expected batters faced14.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)19.7%2.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)19.0%2.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)18.5%2.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)28.1%2.0

5. Lars Nootbaar (L)22.0%2.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)21.8%1.4

7. Jimmy Crooks (L)24.6%1.0

8. Nolan Gorman (L)31.8%1.0

9. Nathan Church (L)22.5%1.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Chris Sale (ATL) is the top strikeout start on the Wednesday, June 10, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.7 K, with Reid Detmers (LAA) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Chris Sale

Chris Sale (ATL) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.7 K against CWS. He's missing bats at a 27% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and CWS has been around league average, going down 23% of the time. He's lined up for about 24 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Reid Detmers (LAA) (92) — about 6.3 K vs HOU: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (79) — about 6.0 K vs PIT: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
George Kirby (SEA) (61) — about 5.3 K vs BAL: a 21% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Michael King (SD) (59) — about 5.6 K vs CIN: a 22% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Shota Imanaga (CHC) (57) — about 5.6 K vs COL: a 22% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

LAA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Peter Lambert is the arm to exploit it (30).
STL is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Austin Warren is the arm to exploit it (0).
CIN is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Michael King is the arm to exploit it (59).
COL is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Shota Imanaga is the arm to exploit it (57).

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) blends his strikeout rate against every hitter in the lineup — hand by hand, combined the log5 way — then scales by how deep he's been going (expected batters faced) and his command (K-BB%). Higher means more whiffs point his way. We project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, June 10, 2026)?: Chris Sale (ATL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.7 K against CWS. A 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, June 10, 2026: Chris Sale (~6.7 K), Reid Detmers (~6.3 K), Shohei Ohtani (~6.0 K), George Kirby (~5.3 K), Michael King (~5.6 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.