HOU @ BOS Home Runs matchups · Sunday, May 3, 2026

HOU

Houston Astros

3–1

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 50°F CloudyWind 6 mph, In From LF

HOU Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 BF

Season.03628 BF

Last 2 Years.028248 BF

wOBA allowed.272

Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02836 BF

Season.019104 BF

Last 2 Years.0211017 BF

wOBA allowed.242

Hard-Hit %28%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA

Season.07043 PA

Last 2 Years.050258 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA

Season.019104 PA

Last 2 Years.0211017 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023171 PA

Season.026384 PA

Last 2 Years.0212053 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.347

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.177

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA

Season.09453 PA

Last 2 Years.056251 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.03628 PA

Last 2 Years.028248 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.090111 PA

Season.063208 PA

Last 2 Years.0311610 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.352

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.312

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.714

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.2

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.00038 PA

Last 2 Years.038237 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA

Season.019104 PA

Last 2 Years.0211017 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023171 PA

Season.026384 PA

Last 2 Years.0212053 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.124

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.0002 PA

Last 2 Years.0008 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.03628 PA

Last 2 Years.028248 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.090111 PA

Season.063208 PA

Last 2 Years.0311610 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.312

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.125

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.00043 PA

Last 2 Years.033301 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA

Season.019104 PA

Last 2 Years.0211017 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023171 PA

Season.026384 PA

Last 2 Years.0212053 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.334

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances10

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2.5× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.116

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA

Season.06730 PA

Last 2 Years.04941 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA

Season.019104 PA

Last 2 Years.0211017 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023171 PA

Season.026384 PA

Last 2 Years.0212053 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.138

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.02737 PA

Last 2 Years.029174 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA

Season.019104 PA

Last 2 Years.0211017 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023171 PA

Season.026384 PA

Last 2 Years.0212053 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.108

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.00032 PA

Last 2 Years.038290 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA

Season.019104 PA

Last 2 Years.0211017 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023171 PA

Season.026384 PA

Last 2 Years.0212053 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.11

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA

Season.0003 PA

Last 2 Years.00010 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.03628 PA

Last 2 Years.028248 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.090111 PA

Season.063208 PA

Last 2 Years.0311610 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.312

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.116

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

BOS Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0003 BF

Season.00028 BF

Last 2 Years.00051 BF

wOBA allowed.342

Hard-Hit %40%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 BF

Season.06316 BF

Last 2 Years.06348 BF

wOBA allowed.341

Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA

Season.02193 PA

Last 2 Years.032976 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA

Season.00028 PA

Last 2 Years.00051 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022274 PA

Season.031542 PA

Last 2 Years.0292303 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.142

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05040 PA

Season.040100 PA

Last 2 Years.037698 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.06316 PA

Last 2 Years.06348 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029175 PA

Season.034438 PA

Last 2 Years.0342596 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form🔥 7-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.17

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA

Season.01188 PA

Last 2 Years.017293 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA

Season.00028 PA

Last 2 Years.00051 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022274 PA

Season.031542 PA

Last 2 Years.0292303 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.125

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA

Season.04296 PA

Last 2 Years.049749 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA

Season.00028 PA

Last 2 Years.00051 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022274 PA

Season.031542 PA

Last 2 Years.0292303 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.168

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.00019 PA

Last 2 Years.009652 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.06316 PA

Last 2 Years.06348 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029175 PA

Season.034438 PA

Last 2 Years.0342596 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.087

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA

Season.00085 PA

Last 2 Years.021194 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA

Season.00028 PA

Last 2 Years.00051 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022274 PA

Season.031542 PA

Last 2 Years.0292303 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.098

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.01286 PA

Last 2 Years.024838 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.06316 PA

Last 2 Years.06348 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029175 PA

Season.034438 PA

Last 2 Years.0342596 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.093

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA

Season.03360 PA

Last 2 Years.034385 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.06316 PA

Last 2 Years.06348 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029175 PA

Season.034438 PA

Last 2 Years.0342596 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.121

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA

Season.01286 PA

Last 2 Years.017459 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.06316 PA

Last 2 Years.06348 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029175 PA

Season.034438 PA

Last 2 Years.0342596 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~1.7× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.087

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.