MatchWiz
Home Runs · Monday, May 4, 2026

MIL @ STL Home Runs matchups · Monday, May 4, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
36
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 72°F CloudyWind 11 mph, R To L

MIL MIL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 BF
Season.05474 BF
Last 2 Years.032312 BF
wOBA allowed.469
Hard-Hit %55%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 BF
Season.03360 BF
Last 2 Years.013370 BF
wOBA allowed.307
Hard-Hit %31%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA
Season.01187 PA
Last 2 Years.027328 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.05474 PA
Last 2 Years.032312 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028249 PA
Season.028598 PA
Last 2 Years.0292935 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.341
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.138

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.037751 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.03360 PA
Last 2 Years.013370 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025202 PA
Season.025525 PA
Last 2 Years.0263701 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.172

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA
Season.04198 PA
Last 2 Years.025964 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.05474 PA
Last 2 Years.032312 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028249 PA
Season.028598 PA
Last 2 Years.0292935 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.341
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.153

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA
Season.029103 PA
Last 2 Years.032977 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.03360 PA
Last 2 Years.013370 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025202 PA
Season.025525 PA
Last 2 Years.0263701 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.141

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.00021 PA
Last 2 Years.00080 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.05474 PA
Last 2 Years.032312 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028249 PA
Season.028598 PA
Last 2 Years.0292935 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.341
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~2.6× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.113

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.037675 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.03360 PA
Last 2 Years.013370 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025202 PA
Season.025525 PA
Last 2 Years.0263701 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.132

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.02388 PA
Last 2 Years.018830 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.05474 PA
Last 2 Years.032312 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028249 PA
Season.028598 PA
Last 2 Years.0292935 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.341
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.096

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.00066 PA
Last 2 Years.013677 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.05474 PA
Last 2 Years.032312 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028249 PA
Season.028598 PA
Last 2 Years.0292935 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.341
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.083

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.00074 PA
Last 2 Years.025480 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.05474 PA
Last 2 Years.032312 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028249 PA
Season.028598 PA
Last 2 Years.0292935 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.341
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.096

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

STL STL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 BF
Season.01760 BF
Last 2 Years.013297 BF
wOBA allowed.329
Hard-Hit %31%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 BF
Season.01854 BF
Last 2 Years.034320 BF
wOBA allowed.259
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09144 PA
Season.049103 PA
Last 2 Years.049103 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.013297 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024164 PA
Season.025365 PA
Last 2 Years.0301549 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.178

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 PA
Season.027110 PA
Last 2 Years.025568 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.01854 PA
Last 2 Years.034320 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013158 PA
Season.023441 PA
Last 2 Years.0202265 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.142

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA
Season.038104 PA
Last 2 Years.039917 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.013297 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024164 PA
Season.025365 PA
Last 2 Years.0301549 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~2.8× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.177

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04248 PA
Season.063111 PA
Last 2 Years.029478 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.01854 PA
Last 2 Years.034320 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013158 PA
Season.023441 PA
Last 2 Years.0202265 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.162

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04346 PA
Season.047106 PA
Last 2 Years.042627 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.013297 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024164 PA
Season.025365 PA
Last 2 Years.0301549 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.161

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00044 PA
Season.01195 PA
Last 2 Years.017843 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.01854 PA
Last 2 Years.034320 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013158 PA
Season.023441 PA
Last 2 Years.0202265 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.086

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09542 PA
Season.05985 PA
Last 2 Years.044136 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.013297 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024164 PA
Season.025365 PA
Last 2 Years.0301549 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.143

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07726 PA
Season.05456 PA
Last 2 Years.039465 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.01854 PA
Last 2 Years.034320 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013158 PA
Season.023441 PA
Last 2 Years.0202265 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.121

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.01569 PA
Last 2 Years.015462 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.013297 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024164 PA
Season.025365 PA
Last 2 Years.0301549 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.293
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.087

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.