MatchWiz
Home Runs · Monday, May 4, 2026

PHI @ MIA Home Runs matchups · Monday, May 4, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
10
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

PHI PHI Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 BF
Season.01376 BF
Last 2 Years.025323 BF
wOBA allowed.332
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 BF
Season.01857 BF
Last 2 Years.014288 BF
wOBA allowed.177
Hard-Hit %29%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04445 PA
Season.030100 PA
Last 2 Years.030819 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.01857 PA
Last 2 Years.014288 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022182 PA
Season.026496 PA
Last 2 Years.0323034 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.145

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.051

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07341 PA
Season.10189 PA
Last 2 Years.070901 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.01376 PA
Last 2 Years.025323 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018228 PA
Season.020587 PA
Last 2 Years.0312979 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.351
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.257

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.03586 PA
Last 2 Years.047770 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.01376 PA
Last 2 Years.025323 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018228 PA
Season.020587 PA
Last 2 Years.0312979 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.600
Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.171

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA
Season.02196 PA
Last 2 Years.032882 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.01857 PA
Last 2 Years.014288 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022182 PA
Season.026496 PA
Last 2 Years.0323034 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances10

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.126

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.04491 PA
Last 2 Years.030738 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.01376 PA
Last 2 Years.025323 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018228 PA
Season.020587 PA
Last 2 Years.0312979 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~2.5× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.164

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.01189 PA
Last 2 Years.022891 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.01376 PA
Last 2 Years.025323 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018228 PA
Season.020587 PA
Last 2 Years.0312979 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.103

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00041 PA
Season.01190 PA
Last 2 Years.019802 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.01857 PA
Last 2 Years.014288 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022182 PA
Season.026496 PA
Last 2 Years.0323034 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.087

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.008129 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.01376 PA
Last 2 Years.025323 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018228 PA
Season.020587 PA
Last 2 Years.0312979 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.092

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA
Season.00088 PA
Last 2 Years.00088 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.01376 PA
Last 2 Years.025323 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018228 PA
Season.020587 PA
Last 2 Years.0312979 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.106

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

MIA MIA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 BF
Season.04271 BF
Last 2 Years.045662 BF
wOBA allowed.449
Hard-Hit %41%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 BF
Season.04369 BF
Last 2 Years.031545 BF
wOBA allowed.293
Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA
Season.009111 PA
Last 2 Years.011264 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.04271 PA
Last 2 Years.045662 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018169 PA
Season.017363 PA
Last 2 Years.0242503 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.337
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.108

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00049 PA
Last 2 Years.011274 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.04369 PA
Last 2 Years.031545 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024250 PA
Season.020553 PA
Last 2 Years.0224367 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.108

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00046 PA
Season.020101 PA
Last 2 Years.023793 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.04369 PA
Last 2 Years.031545 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024250 PA
Season.020553 PA
Last 2 Years.0224367 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.556
Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.131

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02245 PA
Season.018110 PA
Last 2 Years.008740 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.04271 PA
Last 2 Years.045662 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018169 PA
Season.017363 PA
Last 2 Years.0242503 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.337
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.113

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.07692 PA
Last 2 Years.031416 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.04271 PA
Last 2 Years.045662 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018169 PA
Season.017363 PA
Last 2 Years.0242503 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.337
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.157

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.034532 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.04369 PA
Last 2 Years.031545 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024250 PA
Season.020553 PA
Last 2 Years.0224367 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.124

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.04271 PA
Last 2 Years.045662 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018169 PA
Season.017363 PA
Last 2 Years.0242503 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.337
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.127

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA
Season.1258 PA
Last 2 Years.04224 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.04369 PA
Last 2 Years.031545 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024250 PA
Season.020553 PA
Last 2 Years.0224367 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.122

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.03683 PA
Last 2 Years.033450 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.04369 PA
Last 2 Years.031545 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024250 PA
Season.020553 PA
Last 2 Years.0224367 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.122

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.