CIN @ CHC Home Runs matchups · Monday, May 4, 2026

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

4–5

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 65°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, Out To CF

CIN Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07128 BF

Season.02580 BF

Last 2 Years.034562 BF

wOBA allowed.310

Hard-Hit %42%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 BF

Season.01664 BF

Last 2 Years.028496 BF

wOBA allowed.265

Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.00024 PA

Last 2 Years.018274 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.01664 PA

Last 2 Years.028496 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020198 PA

Season.027442 PA

Last 2 Years.0354192 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.132

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11118 PA

Season.11118 PA

Last 2 Years.035716 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA

Season.02580 PA

Last 2 Years.034562 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.035174 PA

Season.037406 PA

Last 2 Years.0353330 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.172

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06546 PA

Season.045111 PA

Last 2 Years.034998 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA

Season.02580 PA

Last 2 Years.034562 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.035174 PA

Season.037406 PA

Last 2 Years.0353330 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.625

Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.176

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04149 PA

Season.061115 PA

Last 2 Years.066166 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.01664 PA

Last 2 Years.028496 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020198 PA

Season.027442 PA

Last 2 Years.0354192 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.196

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.02051 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.01664 PA

Last 2 Years.028496 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020198 PA

Season.027442 PA

Last 2 Years.0354192 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.122

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02442 PA

Season.02291 PA

Last 2 Years.034925 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.01664 PA

Last 2 Years.028496 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020198 PA

Season.027442 PA

Last 2 Years.0354192 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.146

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA

Season.02871 PA

Last 2 Years.035663 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.01664 PA

Last 2 Years.028496 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020198 PA

Season.027442 PA

Last 2 Years.0354192 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.142

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02246 PA

Season.009111 PA

Last 2 Years.023557 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.01664 PA

Last 2 Years.028496 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020198 PA

Season.027442 PA

Last 2 Years.0354192 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.101

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA

Season.00070 PA

Last 2 Years.008728 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.01664 PA

Last 2 Years.028496 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020198 PA

Season.027442 PA

Last 2 Years.0354192 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.280

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375

Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.082

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

CHC Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.00013 BF

wOBA allowed.242

Hard-Hit %14%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.11127 BF

wOBA allowed.742

Hard-Hit %59%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.020102 PA

Last 2 Years.010995 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.11127 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039180 PA

Season.023530 PA

Last 2 Years.0263279 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.356

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.103

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.00037 PA

Last 2 Years.031734 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.00013 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.028216 PA

Season.026502 PA

Last 2 Years.0292634 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.149

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02246 PA

Season.018110 PA

Last 2 Years.040847 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.11127 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039180 PA

Season.023530 PA

Last 2 Years.0263279 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.356

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.16

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02246 PA

Season.050100 PA

Last 2 Years.042971 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.00013 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.028216 PA

Season.026502 PA

Last 2 Years.0292634 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.346

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.193

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.10339 PA

Season.06364 PA

Last 2 Years.045924 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.11127 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039180 PA

Season.023530 PA

Last 2 Years.0263279 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.356

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.189

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA

Season.01098 PA

Last 2 Years.047959 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.00013 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.028216 PA

Season.026502 PA

Last 2 Years.0292634 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.156

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA

Season.00053 PA

Last 2 Years.033573 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.11127 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039180 PA

Season.023530 PA

Last 2 Years.0263279 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.356

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.128

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA

Season.02485 PA

Last 2 Years.041839 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.00013 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.028216 PA

Season.026502 PA

Last 2 Years.0292634 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.136

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA

Season.03489 PA

Last 2 Years.031966 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.11127 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039180 PA

Season.023530 PA

Last 2 Years.0263279 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.356

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.127

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.