PHI @ TOR Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

7:07 PM EDT

TOR

Toronto Blue Jays

◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft

PHI Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from PHI's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.08559 BF

Last 2 Years.058343 BF

wOBA allowed.439

Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.08025 BF

Last 2 Years.047276 BF

wOBA allowed.365

Hard-Hit %39%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.054

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA

Season.090177 PA

Last 2 Years.077901 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.044

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.08559 PA

Last 2 Years.058343 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA

Season.0181136 PA

Last 2 Years.0253955 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.349

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.344

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.191

Plate Appearances21

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.293

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+188

CZRCaesars+164

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA

Season.031193 PA

Last 2 Years.031909 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.08025 PA

Last 2 Years.047276 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.045179 PA

Season.0261077 PA

Last 2 Years.0274712 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~2.9× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.142

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+575

BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07726 PA

Season.066167 PA

Last 2 Years.051769 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.044

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.08559 PA

Last 2 Years.058343 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA

Season.0181136 PA

Last 2 Years.0253955 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.350

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.344

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.194

Plate Appearances31

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.211

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+380

CZRCaesars+330

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07726 PA

Season.040175 PA

Last 2 Years.033756 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.044

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.08559 PA

Last 2 Years.058343 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA

Season.0181136 PA

Last 2 Years.0253955 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.344

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.168

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575

CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06531 PA

Season.018171 PA

Last 2 Years.019791 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.08025 PA

Last 2 Years.047276 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.045179 PA

Season.0261077 PA

Last 2 Years.0274712 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances22

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.108

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA

Season.027183 PA

Last 2 Years.026898 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.044

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.08559 PA

Last 2 Years.058343 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA

Season.0181136 PA

Last 2 Years.0253955 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.344

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.571

Plate Appearances14

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.116

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA

Season.025118 PA

Last 2 Years.028649 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.08025 PA

Last 2 Years.047276 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.045179 PA

Season.0261077 PA

Last 2 Years.0274712 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.101

Plate Appearances69

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.12

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750

CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA

Season.016184 PA

Last 2 Years.029887 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.08025 PA

Last 2 Years.047276 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.045179 PA

Season.0261077 PA

Last 2 Years.0274712 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.114

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.0002 PA

Last 2 Years.00038 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.044

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.08559 PA

Last 2 Years.058343 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA

Season.0181136 PA

Last 2 Years.0253955 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.344

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.115

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

TOR Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from TOR's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 BF

Season.01470 BF

Last 2 Years.012251 BF

wOBA allowed.232

Hard-Hit %14%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08834 BF

Season.029242 BF

Last 2 Years.027862 BF

wOBA allowed.357

Hard-Hit %31%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.03459 PA

Last 2 Years.040299 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA

Season.029242 PA

Last 2 Years.027862 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023216 PA

Season.0251028 PA

Last 2 Years.0234353 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.346

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.177

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+525

BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.00012 PA

Last 2 Years.00079 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.01470 PA

Last 2 Years.012251 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.061163 PA

Season.027892 PA

Last 2 Years.0293324 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.292

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.121

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA

Season.04173 PA

Last 2 Years.031352 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA

Season.029242 PA

Last 2 Years.027862 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023216 PA

Season.0251028 PA

Last 2 Years.0234353 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.13

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850

BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.01567 PA

Last 2 Years.009214 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA

Season.029242 PA

Last 2 Years.027862 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023216 PA

Season.0251028 PA

Last 2 Years.0234353 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.11

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100

BRBetRivers+1050

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.01661 PA

Last 2 Years.029171 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.01470 PA

Last 2 Years.012251 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.061163 PA

Season.027892 PA

Last 2 Years.0293324 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.292

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1000

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.05139 PA

Last 2 Years.05139 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA

Season.029242 PA

Last 2 Years.027862 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023216 PA

Season.0251028 PA

Last 2 Years.0234353 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.145

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800

CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.15413 PA

Season.04863 PA

Last 2 Years.04863 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA

Season.029242 PA

Last 2 Years.027862 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023216 PA

Season.0251028 PA

Last 2 Years.0234353 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.142

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+410

CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.01758 PA

Last 2 Years.008242 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.01470 PA

Last 2 Years.012251 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.061163 PA

Season.027892 PA

Last 2 Years.0293324 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.290

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.292

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.083

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA

Season.029242 PA

Last 2 Years.027862 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023216 PA

Season.0251028 PA

Last 2 Years.0234353 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.12

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.