STL @ NYM Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

7:10 PM EDT

NYM

New York Mets

◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft

STL Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from STL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 BF

Season.02344 BF

Last 2 Years.02482 BF

wOBA allowed.283

Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09111 BF

Season.02147 BF

Last 2 Years.02485 BF

wOBA allowed.280

Hard-Hit %31%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA

Season.038182 PA

Last 2 Years.038182 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.02344 PA

Last 2 Years.02482 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020148 PA

Season.024887 PA

Last 2 Years.0232874 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.155

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+475

BRBetRivers+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA

Season.019205 PA

Last 2 Years.025588 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA

Season.02147 PA

Last 2 Years.02485 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.015199 PA

Season.017897 PA

Last 2 Years.0253997 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.122

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+575

BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA

Season.036192 PA

Last 2 Years.037919 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.02344 PA

Last 2 Years.02482 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020148 PA

Season.024887 PA

Last 2 Years.0232874 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.347

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 9-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.179

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525

CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA

Season.055201 PA

Last 2 Years.032568 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA

Season.02147 PA

Last 2 Years.02485 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.015199 PA

Season.017897 PA

Last 2 Years.0253997 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~1.5× / ~2.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.173

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+460

CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.00011 PA

Last 2 Years.025598 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.02344 PA

Last 2 Years.02482 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020148 PA

Season.024887 PA

Last 2 Years.0232874 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.128

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+575

BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.011177 PA

Last 2 Years.018855 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA

Season.02147 PA

Last 2 Years.02485 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.015199 PA

Season.017897 PA

Last 2 Years.0253997 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.088

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850

BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA

Season.00014 PA

Last 2 Years.00052 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.02344 PA

Last 2 Years.02482 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020148 PA

Season.024887 PA

Last 2 Years.0232874 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.111

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA

Season.033184 PA

Last 2 Years.032624 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.02344 PA

Last 2 Years.02482 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020148 PA

Season.024887 PA

Last 2 Years.0232874 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.121

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.041122 PA

Last 2 Years.035173 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.02344 PA

Last 2 Years.02482 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020148 PA

Season.024887 PA

Last 2 Years.0232874 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.117

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1150

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

NYM Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from NYM's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05020 BF

Season.035145 BF

Last 2 Years.025684 BF

wOBA allowed.323

Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 BF

Season.023129 BF

Last 2 Years.025724 BF

wOBA allowed.301

Hard-Hit %21%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA

Season.025199 PA

Last 2 Years.025199 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA

Season.035145 PA

Last 2 Years.025684 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013157 PA

Season.029989 PA

Last 2 Years.0302876 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.147

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750

BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA

Season.005211 PA

Last 2 Years.016767 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA

Season.023129 PA

Last 2 Years.025724 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025196 PA

Season.0251031 PA

Last 2 Years.0253624 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.103

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750

BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.048

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA

Season.075133 PA

Last 2 Years.064872 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA

Season.035145 PA

Last 2 Years.025684 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013157 PA

Season.029989 PA

Last 2 Years.0302876 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.360

Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.214

Plate Appearances14

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.259

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+380

CZRCaesars+370

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA

Season.05357 PA

Last 2 Years.069102 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA

Season.035145 PA

Last 2 Years.025684 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013157 PA

Season.029989 PA

Last 2 Years.0302876 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.178

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625

BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA

Season.01472 PA

Last 2 Years.01472 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA

Season.035145 PA

Last 2 Years.025684 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013157 PA

Season.029989 PA

Last 2 Years.0302876 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2.9× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.132

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11136 PA

Season.036195 PA

Last 2 Years.033929 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA

Season.023129 PA

Last 2 Years.025724 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025196 PA

Season.0251031 PA

Last 2 Years.0253624 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.131

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625

BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA

Season.017178 PA

Last 2 Years.034529 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA

Season.035145 PA

Last 2 Years.025684 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013157 PA

Season.029989 PA

Last 2 Years.0302876 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.121

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA

Season.038133 PA

Last 2 Years.048736 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA

Season.023129 PA

Last 2 Years.025724 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025196 PA

Season.0251031 PA

Last 2 Years.0253624 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.14

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.03099 PA

Last 2 Years.032532 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA

Season.023129 PA

Last 2 Years.025724 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025196 PA

Season.0251031 PA

Last 2 Years.0253624 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.