AZ @ MIA Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

6:40 PM EDT

MIA

Miami Marlins

◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft

AZ Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from AZ's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 BF

Season.00013 BF

Last 2 Years.056252 BF

wOBA allowed.385

Hard-Hit %60%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 BF

Season.00011 BF

Last 2 Years.013225 BF

wOBA allowed.360

Hard-Hit %50%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA

Season.037191 PA

Last 2 Years.054759 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.00013 PA

Last 2 Years.056252 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030202 PA

Season.021857 PA

Last 2 Years.0282744 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.340

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.186

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450

CZRCaesars+400

BRBetRivers+360

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA

Season.045177 PA

Last 2 Years.048914 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.00013 PA

Last 2 Years.056252 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030202 PA

Season.021857 PA

Last 2 Years.0282744 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.340

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.202

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450

CZRCaesars+400

BRBetRivers+320

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA

Season.017118 PA

Last 2 Years.025470 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.00011 PA

Last 2 Years.013225 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.037134 PA

Season.019698 PA

Last 2 Years.0282759 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.129

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+850

BOLBetOnline+800

BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.036165 PA

Last 2 Years.029765 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.00011 PA

Last 2 Years.013225 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.037134 PA

Season.019698 PA

Last 2 Years.0282759 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.122

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700

CZRCaesars+700

BRBetRivers+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.00021 PA

Last 2 Years.038364 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.00013 PA

Last 2 Years.056252 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030202 PA

Season.021857 PA

Last 2 Years.0282744 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.340

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.146

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700

BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA

Season.011177 PA

Last 2 Years.021929 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.00013 PA

Last 2 Years.056252 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030202 PA

Season.021857 PA

Last 2 Years.0282744 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.340

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.101

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950

BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA

Season.00077 PA

Last 2 Years.00077 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.00011 PA

Last 2 Years.013225 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.037134 PA

Season.019698 PA

Last 2 Years.0282759 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.1

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950

BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.00011 PA

Last 2 Years.013225 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.037134 PA

Season.019698 PA

Last 2 Years.0282759 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.122

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA

Season.02836 PA

Last 2 Years.02836 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.00011 PA

Last 2 Years.013225 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.037134 PA

Season.019698 PA

Last 2 Years.0282759 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~1.4× / ~2.4×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.115

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

MIA Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09432 BF

Season.049164 BF

Last 2 Years.028639 BF

wOBA allowed.305

Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05618 BF

Season.050140 BF

Last 2 Years.035678 BF

wOBA allowed.336

Hard-Hit %37%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA

Season.056197 PA

Last 2 Years.033521 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09432 PA

Season.049164 PA

Last 2 Years.028639 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.047213 PA

Season.027925 PA

Last 2 Years.0313095 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.308

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.158

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+800

CZRCaesars+750

BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA

Season.019205 PA

Last 2 Years.022831 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA

Season.050140 PA

Last 2 Years.035678 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.038156 PA

Season.026883 PA

Last 2 Years.0293696 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.126

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+800

CZRCaesars+750

BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA

Season.029137 PA

Last 2 Years.049627 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09432 PA

Season.049164 PA

Last 2 Years.028639 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.047213 PA

Season.027925 PA

Last 2 Years.0313095 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.308

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.181

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450

CZRCaesars+425

BRBetRivers+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.020

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA

Season.009214 PA

Last 2 Years.007839 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09432 PA

Season.049164 PA

Last 2 Years.028639 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.047213 PA

Season.027925 PA

Last 2 Years.0313095 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.308

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.089

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100

BRBetRivers+1000

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA

Season.00099 PA

Last 2 Years.009324 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA

Season.050140 PA

Last 2 Years.035678 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.038156 PA

Season.026883 PA

Last 2 Years.0293696 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.092

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.03727 PA

Last 2 Years.03132 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA

Season.050140 PA

Last 2 Years.035678 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.038156 PA

Season.026883 PA

Last 2 Years.0293696 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.121

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA

Season.010202 PA

Last 2 Years.011355 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09432 PA

Season.049164 PA

Last 2 Years.028639 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.047213 PA

Season.027925 PA

Last 2 Years.0313095 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.308

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2.8× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.086

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850

BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09432 PA

Season.049164 PA

Last 2 Years.028639 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.047213 PA

Season.027925 PA

Last 2 Years.0313095 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.308

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.126

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950

BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.021141 PA

Last 2 Years.028498 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA

Season.050140 PA

Last 2 Years.035678 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.038156 PA

Season.026883 PA

Last 2 Years.0293696 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.109

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BOLBetOnline+800

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.