MatchWiz
Home Runs · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

MIN @ DET Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

MIN
MIN
Minnesota Twins
vs
6:40 PM EDT
DET
Detroit Tigers
DET
Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft

MIN MIN Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIN's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 BF
Season.02483 BF
Last 2 Years.025317 BF
wOBA allowed.311
Hard-Hit %35%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 BF
Season.021234 BF
Last 2 Years.0171252 BF
wOBA allowed.309
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.01569 PA
Last 2 Years.049246 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.021234 PA
Last 2 Years.0171252 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA
Season.026682 PA
Last 2 Years.0292899 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.163

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+310
BOLBetOnline+250
CZRCaesars+245

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.03585 PA
Last 2 Years.029315 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.021234 PA
Last 2 Years.0171252 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA
Season.026682 PA
Last 2 Years.0292899 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.124

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.03330 PA
Last 2 Years.01566 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.021234 PA
Last 2 Years.0171252 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA
Season.026682 PA
Last 2 Years.0292899 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.131

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.01188 PA
Last 2 Years.025314 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.021234 PA
Last 2 Years.0171252 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA
Season.026682 PA
Last 2 Years.0292899 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.278
Plate Appearances18

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.111

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.01285 PA
Last 2 Years.010195 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.021234 PA
Last 2 Years.0171252 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA
Season.026682 PA
Last 2 Years.0292899 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.113

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.01664 PA
Last 2 Years.029175 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.021234 PA
Last 2 Years.0171252 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA
Season.026682 PA
Last 2 Years.0292899 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.121

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.00036 PA
Last 2 Years.028253 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.021234 PA
Last 2 Years.0171252 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA
Season.026682 PA
Last 2 Years.0292899 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.115

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00080 PA
Last 2 Years.007146 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.021234 PA
Last 2 Years.0171252 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA
Season.026682 PA
Last 2 Years.0292899 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.094

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.05319 PA
Last 2 Years.06546 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.02483 PA
Last 2 Years.025317 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032186 PA
Season.028726 PA
Last 2 Years.0302762 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.128

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

DET DET Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from DET's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).
?
Probable pitcher not announcedMatchups for this lineup are shown neutrally for now and will sharpen automatically once the opposing starter is posted (usually a day or two before first pitch).
Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.018166 PA
Last 2 Years.0241189 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032187 PA
Season.017851 PA
Last 2 Years.0262987 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.119

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02049 PA
Season.014277 PA
Last 2 Years.014277 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031257 PA
Season.029887 PA
Last 2 Years.0353011 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.341
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.115

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08348 PA
Season.058243 PA
Last 2 Years.035799 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032187 PA
Season.017851 PA
Last 2 Years.0262987 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.179

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+340

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00043 PA
Last 2 Years.017120 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032187 PA
Season.017851 PA
Last 2 Years.0262987 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.122

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03852 PA
Season.022275 PA
Last 2 Years.0441246 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031257 PA
Season.029887 PA
Last 2 Years.0353011 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.165

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+390
BRBetRivers+370

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04149 PA
Season.036251 PA
Last 2 Years.0441051 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032187 PA
Season.017851 PA
Last 2 Years.0262987 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.158

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+440
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.000189 PA
Last 2 Years.0241012 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031257 PA
Season.029887 PA
Last 2 Years.0353011 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.102

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10040 PA
Season.036165 PA
Last 2 Years.031806 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032187 PA
Season.017851 PA
Last 2 Years.0262987 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.117

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.007140 PA
Last 2 Years.018874 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031257 PA
Season.029887 PA
Last 2 Years.0353011 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.078

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.