CHC @ COL Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

CHC

Chicago Cubs

8:40 PM EDT

COL

Colorado Rockies

◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft

CHC Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from CHC's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 BF

Season.057140 BF

Last 2 Years.043588 BF

wOBA allowed.526

Hard-Hit %46%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 BF

Season.019161 BF

Last 2 Years.034617 BF

wOBA allowed.337

Hard-Hit %40%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09841 PA

Season.044182 PA

Last 2 Years.045888 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.057140 PA

Last 2 Years.043588 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033151 PA

Season.032619 PA

Last 2 Years.0342473 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.359

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.21

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+285

CZRCaesars+225

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.057140 PA

Last 2 Years.043588 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033151 PA

Season.032619 PA

Last 2 Years.0342473 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.359

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.153

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA

Season.025199 PA

Last 2 Years.048979 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.057140 PA

Last 2 Years.043588 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033151 PA

Season.032619 PA

Last 2 Years.0342473 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.359

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.182

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+280

BRBetRivers+255

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02442 PA

Season.018218 PA

Last 2 Years.035854 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.019161 PA

Last 2 Years.034617 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.055183 PA

Season.032845 PA

Last 2 Years.0353347 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.100

Plate Appearances10

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.137

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+440

CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11435 PA

Season.056195 PA

Last 2 Years.043982 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.057140 PA

Last 2 Years.043588 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033151 PA

Season.032619 PA

Last 2 Years.0342473 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.353

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.359

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.231

Plate Appearances13

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.216

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+340

CZRCaesars+280

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA

Season.043161 PA

Last 2 Years.044957 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.019161 PA

Last 2 Years.034617 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.055183 PA

Season.032845 PA

Last 2 Years.0353347 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.175

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+340

CZRCaesars+305

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.019

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA

Season.009210 PA

Last 2 Years.0081020 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.019161 PA

Last 2 Years.034617 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.055183 PA

Season.032845 PA

Last 2 Years.0353347 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305

Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.073

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850

BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA

Season.000110 PA

Last 2 Years.032570 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.019161 PA

Last 2 Years.034617 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.055183 PA

Season.032845 PA

Last 2 Years.0353347 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.107

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA

Season.025163 PA

Last 2 Years.030974 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.019161 PA

Last 2 Years.034617 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.055183 PA

Season.032845 PA

Last 2 Years.0353347 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.114

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

COL Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from COL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 BF

Season.05690 BF

Last 2 Years.041320 BF

wOBA allowed.320

Hard-Hit %46%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.19431 BF

Season.055218 BF

Last 2 Years.056998 BF

wOBA allowed.317

Hard-Hit %31%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.00035 PA

Last 2 Years.000192 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA

Season.05690 PA

Last 2 Years.041320 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.021143 PA

Season.028791 PA

Last 2 Years.0323392 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.113

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA

Season.00059 PA

Last 2 Years.025276 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.048

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.19431 PA

Season.055218 PA

Last 2 Years.056998 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.042144 PA

Season.034713 PA

Last 2 Years.0293673 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.129

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+475

BRBetRivers+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.00057 PA

Last 2 Years.00057 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA

Season.05690 PA

Last 2 Years.041320 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.021143 PA

Season.028791 PA

Last 2 Years.0323392 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.136

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+525

BRBetRivers+325

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA

Season.05770 PA

Last 2 Years.057282 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.048

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.19431 PA

Season.055218 PA

Last 2 Years.056998 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.042144 PA

Season.034713 PA

Last 2 Years.0293673 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.195

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+210

BRBetRivers+205

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.00043 PA

Last 2 Years.00051 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA

Season.05690 PA

Last 2 Years.041320 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.021143 PA

Season.028791 PA

Last 2 Years.0323392 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.305

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.124

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.00057 PA

Last 2 Years.025277 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.048

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.19431 PA

Season.055218 PA

Last 2 Years.056998 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.042144 PA

Season.034713 PA

Last 2 Years.0293673 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.127

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+440

CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.048

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.19431 PA

Season.055218 PA

Last 2 Years.056998 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.042144 PA

Season.034713 PA

Last 2 Years.0293673 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2.2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.134

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA

Season.01565 PA

Last 2 Years.01099 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.048

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.19431 PA

Season.055218 PA

Last 2 Years.056998 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.042144 PA

Season.034713 PA

Last 2 Years.0293673 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.132

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625

BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.00013 PA

Last 2 Years.01567 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA

Season.05690 PA

Last 2 Years.041320 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.021143 PA

Season.028791 PA

Last 2 Years.0323392 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.113

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.