MIL @ ATH Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

MIL

Milwaukee Brewers

9:05 PM EDT

ATH

Athletics

◆ Las Vegas BallparkCenter Field 415 ft

MIL Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 BF

Season.00068 BF

Last 2 Years.013151 BF

wOBA allowed.258

Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04323 BF

Season.02676 BF

Last 2 Years.026154 BF

wOBA allowed.347

Hard-Hit %26%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00049 PA

Season.019104 PA

Last 2 Years.048642 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.00068 PA

Last 2 Years.013151 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.036168 PA

Season.024661 PA

Last 2 Years.0312217 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.164

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+350

BRBetRivers+310

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06745 PA

Season.028106 PA

Last 2 Years.037804 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA

Season.02676 PA

Last 2 Years.026154 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025204 PA

Season.029855 PA

Last 2 Years.0343344 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.164

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+255

BRBetRivers+250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04248 PA

Season.045201 PA

Last 2 Years.029958 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.00068 PA

Last 2 Years.013151 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.036168 PA

Season.024661 PA

Last 2 Years.0312217 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.345

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.161

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+340

CZRCaesars+320

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02343 PA

Season.020196 PA

Last 2 Years.031957 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA

Season.02676 PA

Last 2 Years.026154 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025204 PA

Season.029855 PA

Last 2 Years.0343344 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.135

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+370

BRBetRivers+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA

Season.00041 PA

Last 2 Years.004280 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.00068 PA

Last 2 Years.013151 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.036168 PA

Season.024661 PA

Last 2 Years.0312217 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.291

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.09

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA

Season.01759 PA

Last 2 Years.033644 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA

Season.02676 PA

Last 2 Years.026154 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025204 PA

Season.029855 PA

Last 2 Years.0343344 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~1.8× / ~2.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.12

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA

Season.020153 PA

Last 2 Years.028394 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.00068 PA

Last 2 Years.013151 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.036168 PA

Season.024661 PA

Last 2 Years.0312217 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.129

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+400

CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA

Season.000122 PA

Last 2 Years.012665 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.00068 PA

Last 2 Years.013151 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.036168 PA

Season.024661 PA

Last 2 Years.0312217 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302

Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.072

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750

BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA

Season.021146 PA

Last 2 Years.029481 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.00068 PA

Last 2 Years.013151 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.036168 PA

Season.024661 PA

Last 2 Years.0312217 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.113

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+525

BRBetRivers+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

ATH Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from ATH's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 BF

Season.033120 BF

Last 2 Years.025162 BF

wOBA allowed.381

Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 BF

Season.058120 BF

Last 2 Years.043162 BF

wOBA allowed.378

Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA

Season.049205 PA

Last 2 Years.050848 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA

Season.058120 PA

Last 2 Years.043162 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.032216 PA

Season.024920 PA

Last 2 Years.0252453 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.333

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.187

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+225

CZRCaesars+198

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA

Season.049203 PA

Last 2 Years.069539 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.033120 PA

Last 2 Years.025162 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031162 PA

Season.021743 PA

Last 2 Years.0241809 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.379

Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.276

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+215

CZRCaesars+192

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA

Season.011184 PA

Last 2 Years.028740 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.033120 PA

Last 2 Years.025162 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031162 PA

Season.021743 PA

Last 2 Years.0241809 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.111

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900

CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06531 PA

Season.052154 PA

Last 2 Years.0541004 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA

Season.058120 PA

Last 2 Years.043162 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.032216 PA

Season.024920 PA

Last 2 Years.0252453 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.333

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~2.6× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.199

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+245

CZRCaesars+220

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA

Season.030167 PA

Last 2 Years.035261 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.033120 PA

Last 2 Years.025162 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031162 PA

Season.021743 PA

Last 2 Years.0241809 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.148

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+375

CZRCaesars+370

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA

Season.026195 PA

Last 2 Years.041803 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.033120 PA

Last 2 Years.025162 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031162 PA

Season.021743 PA

Last 2 Years.0241809 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.148

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+360

CZRCaesars+305

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.00061 PA

Last 2 Years.00061 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA

Season.058120 PA

Last 2 Years.043162 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.032216 PA

Season.024920 PA

Last 2 Years.0252453 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.333

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.113

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+440

CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA

Season.038130 PA

Last 2 Years.040481 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA

Season.058120 PA

Last 2 Years.043162 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.032216 PA

Season.024920 PA

Last 2 Years.0252453 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.333

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 14-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.137

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+360

CZRCaesars+330

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.00017 PA

Last 2 Years.00037 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA

Season.058120 PA

Last 2 Years.043162 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.032216 PA

Season.024920 PA

Last 2 Years.0252453 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.333

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.106

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.