HOU @ SEA Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, April 11, 2026

HOU

Houston Astros

7–8

Final

SEA

Seattle Mariners

◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 55°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, Calm

Lance McCullers Jr. · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.5% K/BF

vs LHB24.9%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1J.P. Crawford (L)23.2%3.0 PA

2Cal Raleigh (L)26.3%3.0 PA

3Julio Rodríguez (R)24.5%3.0 PA

4Josh Naylor (L)18.4%3.0 PA

5Randy Arozarena (R)21.1%2.6 PA

6Luke Raley (L)29.2%2.0 PA

7Cole Young (L)24.3%2.0 PA

8Brendan Donovan (L)18.6%2.0 PA

9Leo Rivas (L)29.6%2.0 PA

Luis Castillo · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.9% K/BF

vs LHB22.7%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Christian Walker (R)18.7%3.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)16.9%3.0 PA

3Isaac Paredes (R)20.7%3.0 PA

4Jose Altuve (R)18.7%3.0 PA

5Carlos Correa (R)16.9%2.5 PA

6Joey Loperfido (L)26.3%2.0 PA

7Cam Smith (R)22.3%2.0 PA

8Yainer Diaz (R)17.1%2.0 PA

9Taylor Trammell (L)22.9%2.0 PA