PIT @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, April 11, 2026

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

4–3

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 48°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, In From RF

Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.1% K/BF

vs LHB25.1%

vs RHB20.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Nico Hoerner (R)14.1%3.0 PA

2Matt Shaw (R)20.5%3.0 PA

3Alex Bregman (R)15.4%3.0 PA

4Ian Happ (L)25.9%3.0 PA

5Seiya Suzuki (R)23.7%3.0 PA

6Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)20.9%2.0 PA

7Miguel Amaya (R)20.1%2.0 PA

8Michael Conforto (L)25.2%2.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)24.5%2.0 PA

Edward Cabrera · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.7% K/BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB26.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Oneil Cruz (L)28.1%3.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)21.0%3.0 PA

3Jake Mangum (L)22.9%3.0 PA

4Ryan O'Hearn (L)19.5%3.0 PA

5Marcell Ozuna (R)24.6%2.5 PA

6Nick Yorke (R)19.5%2.0 PA

7Nick Gonzales (R)18.4%2.0 PA

8Konnor Griffin (R)20.9%2.0 PA

9Joey Bart (R)25.9%2.0 PA