NYM @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, April 18, 2026

NYM

New York Mets

2–4

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 51°F Partly CloudyWind 16 mph, L To R

Freddy Peralta · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.0% K/BF

vs LHB24.1%

vs RHB24.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Nico Hoerner (R)13.3%3.0 PA

2Michael Busch (L)24.7%3.0 PA

3Alex Bregman (R)17.3%3.0 PA

4Ian Happ (L)26.0%3.0 PA

5Seiya Suzuki (R)25.8%2.8 PA

6Carson Kelly (R)18.1%2.0 PA

7Miguel Amaya (R)24.7%2.0 PA

8Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.1%2.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)21.0%2.0 PA

Jameson Taillon · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.9% K/BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB22.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Tyrone Taylor (R)21.6%3.0 PA

2Bo Bichette (R)22.0%3.0 PA

3Francisco Lindor (L)21.5%3.0 PA

4Luis Robert Jr. (R)24.4%3.0 PA

5MJ Melendez (L)24.9%3.0 PA

6Francisco Alvarez (R)19.7%2.2 PA

7Mark Vientos (R)24.4%2.0 PA

8Tommy Pham (R)24.5%2.0 PA

9Marcus Semien (R)20.4%2.0 PA