‹ Strikeouts · Sunday, May 24, 2026
PIT @ TOR Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 24, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
4–1
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 68°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Mitch Keller · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.6% K/BF
vs LHB18.5%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+130-175
BRBetRivers+135-182
BOVBovada+135-180
FDFanDuel+132-178
We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)20.8%3.0 PA
2Daulton Varsho (L)22.9%3.0 PA
3Lenyn Sosa (R)20.1%3.0 PA
4Myles Straw (R)16.6%3.0 PA
5Davis Schneider (R)26.6%3.0 PA
6Kazuma Okamoto (R)31.8%2.1 PA
7Ernie Clement (R)13.6%2.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)21.9%2.0 PA
9Brandon Valenzuela (L)21.5%2.0 PA
Dylan Cease · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate31.1% K/BF
vs LHB31.3%
vs RHB26.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.1%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection7.1 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BRBetRivers-167+125
BOVBovada-150+115
FDFanDuel-144+118
We project 7.1 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)18.6%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)22.4%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)21.9%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)16.4%3.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)30.0%3.0 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (L)22.8%2.7 PA
7Jhostynxon Garcia (R)23.1%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)21.1%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)22.1%2.0 PA