‹ Strikeouts · Sunday, May 24, 2026
MIN @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 24, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
6–5
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 57°F OvercastWind 7 mph, In From RF
Bailey Ober · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.0% K/BF
vs LHB17.7%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BRBetRivers+125-167
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+130-167
FDFanDuel+122-162
We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)27.0%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)20.3%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)23.3%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)24.3%3.0 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)13.6%3.0 PA
6Nick Sogard (L)22.3%2.8 PA
7Connor Wong (R)25.1%2.0 PA
8Marcelo Mayer (L)20.6%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)17.9%2.0 PA
Sonny Gray · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.7% K/BF
vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.9 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BRBetRivers+106-141
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+102-130
FANFanatics+100-130
FDFanDuel+106-130
We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Austin Martin (R)20.2%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)17.2%3.0 PA
3Trevor Larnach (L)19.1%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)23.1%2.7 PA
5Kody Clemens (L)23.6%2.0 PA
6Victor Caratini (L)18.1%2.0 PA
7Orlando Arcia (R)20.7%2.0 PA
8James Outman (L)27.6%2.0 PA
9Ryan Kreidler (R)30.0%2.0 PA