MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Sunday, May 24, 2026

COL @ AZ Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 24, 2026

COL
COL
Colorado Rockies
19
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

COL Jose Quintana · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.1% K/BF

vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB16.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BRBetRivers-104-129
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings-103-124
FDFanDuel+104-138

We project 3.2 K vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (R)17.8%3.0 PA
2Tim Tawa (R)21.2%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (R)15.6%3.0 PA
4Jorge Barrosa (R)22.1%3.0 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (R)14.5%2.2 PA
6Ryan Waldschmidt (R)18.3%2.0 PA
7Jose Fernandez (R)22.2%2.0 PA
8Aramis Garcia (R)24.5%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)22.0%2.0 PA

AZ Ryne Nelson · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.8% K/BF

vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BRBetRivers-148+112
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-128+100
FANFanatics-130+100
FDFanDuel-134+110

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)18.6%3.0 PA
2Tyler Freeman (R)14.4%3.0 PA
3Chad Stevens (R)24.5%3.0 PA
4Troy Johnston (L)22.8%3.0 PA
5Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.9%2.9 PA
6Braxton Fulford (R)23.1%2.0 PA
7Edouard Julien (L)26.0%2.0 PA
8Kyle Karros (R)21.6%2.0 PA
9Brett Sullivan (L)22.1%2.0 PA