‹ Strikeouts · Tuesday, May 26, 2026
PHI @ SD Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
4–3
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
◆ Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft☀ 64°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, L To R
Aaron Nola · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.9% K/BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.1 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BRBetRivers+128-175
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+104-133
FDFanDuel+122-162
We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)19.4%3.0 PA
2Xander Bogaerts (R)20.8%3.0 PA
3Bryce Johnson (L)24.2%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)22.8%3.0 PA
5Miguel Andujar (R)18.0%2.6 PA
6Jackson Merrill (L)23.8%2.0 PA
7Ty France (R)20.4%2.0 PA
8Ramón Laureano (R)29.4%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)22.0%2.0 PA
Randy Vásquez · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.6% K/BF
vs LHB17.7%
vs RHB19.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers-165+123
BOVBovada-160+120
FANFanatics-165+125
FDFanDuel-150+122
We project 4.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kyle Schwarber (L)31.7%3.0 PA
2Trea Turner (R)23.5%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)20.3%3.0 PA
4Adolis García (R)30.5%3.0 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)16.6%2.6 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)19.6%2.0 PA
7J.T. Realmuto (R)21.0%2.0 PA
8Justin Crawford (L)20.5%2.0 PA
9Edmundo Sosa (R)23.5%2.0 PA