CHC @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

CHC

Chicago Cubs

1–12

Final

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 79°F CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To LF

Jordan Wicks · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.2% K/BF

vs LHB18.3%

vs RHB17.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-158+118

BRBetRivers-148+110

BOVBovada-160+120

MGMBetMGM-165+125

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Konnor Griffin (R)25.3%3.0 PA

2Jared Triolo (R)22.5%3.0 PA

3Jhostynxon Garcia (R)24.0%3.0 PA

4Nick Gonzales (R)22.4%3.0 PA

5Jake Mangum (R)19.9%3.0 PA

6Marcell Ozuna (R)27.9%2.0 PA

7Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.0%2.0 PA

8Spencer Horwitz (L)18.8%2.0 PA

9Henry Davis (R)21.0%2.0 PA

Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.8% K/BF

vs LHB19.5%

vs RHB19.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Kevin Alcántara (R)22.6%3.0 PA

2Nico Hoerner (R)11.3%3.0 PA

3Michael Busch (L)21.4%3.0 PA

4Pedro Ramírez (L)22.0%3.0 PA

5Ian Happ (L)29.5%3.0 PA

6Seiya Suzuki (R)26.9%2.3 PA

7Moisés Ballesteros (L)20.0%2.0 PA

8Carson Kelly (R)20.8%2.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)21.3%2.0 PA