‹ Strikeouts · Tuesday, May 26, 2026
ATL @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
7–6
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 82°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, Out To CF
Spencer Strider · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.1% K/BF
vs LHB25.8%
vs RHB25.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.6 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BRBetRivers-155+115
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-151+118
FDFanDuel-130-102
We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)27.5%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)19.3%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)23.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)24.4%3.0 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)13.4%2.2 PA
6Mickey Gasper (L)22.2%2.0 PA
7Nick Sogard (L)21.5%2.0 PA
8Andruw Monasterio (R)22.1%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)17.7%2.0 PA
Ranger Suarez · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.2% K/BF
vs LHB25.8%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.9 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BRBetRivers-112-120
BOVBovada-115-115
DKDraftKings-114-112
FANFanatics-115-115
FDFanDuel-108-112
We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)22.5%3.0 PA
2Mauricio Dubón (R)17.5%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)22.9%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (R)12.7%3.0 PA
5Austin Riley (R)26.5%2.0 PA
6Mike Yastrzemski (L)26.1%2.0 PA
7Michael Harris II (L)22.1%2.0 PA
8Ha-Seong Kim (R)21.9%2.0 PA
9Chadwick Tromp (R)24.6%2.0 PA