MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

TB @ BAL Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
16
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft 74°F Partly CloudyWind 2 mph, Out To LF

TB Griffin Jax · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.9% K/BF

vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB23.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.9 BF

Expected batters faced16.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers+125-167
BOVBovada+120-160
FANFanatics+120-160
FDFanDuel+122-162

We project 4.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)24.4%2.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)24.1%2.0 PA
3Pete Alonso (R)22.7%2.0 PA
4Samuel Basallo (L)23.4%2.0 PA
5Leody Taveras (L)21.9%2.0 PA
6Jeremiah Jackson (R)19.5%2.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)28.3%2.0 PA
8Blaze Alexander (R)25.8%1.9 PA
9Jackson Holliday (L)22.6%1.0 PA

BAL Shane Baz · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.6% K/BF

vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+105
BRBetRivers-120-110
BOVBovada-125-105
DKDraftKings-124-103
FDFanDuel-122+100

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Chandler Simpson (L)14.5%3.0 PA
2Junior Caminero (R)20.5%3.0 PA
3Jonathan Aranda (L)22.3%3.0 PA
4Yandy Díaz (R)14.4%3.0 PA
5Ryan Vilade (R)20.0%3.0 PA
6Cedric Mullins (L)20.7%3.0 PA
7Victor Mesa Jr. (L)21.4%2.3 PA
8Hunter Feduccia (L)25.5%2.0 PA
9Oliver Dunn (L)23.8%2.0 PA