MIL @ HOU Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 29, 2026

MIL

Milwaukee Brewers

5–4

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Coleman Crow · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BOVBovada-165+125

FDFanDuel-166+124

We project 5.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Brice Matthews (R)25.9%3.0 PA

2Zach Dezenzo (R)28.7%3.0 PA

3Yordan Alvarez (L)19.0%3.0 PA

4Christian Walker (R)22.3%3.0 PA

5Cam Smith (R)25.4%2.4 PA

6Jeremy Peña (R)17.8%2.0 PA

7Jake Meyers (R)22.5%2.0 PA

8Nick Allen (R)22.0%2.0 PA

9Christian Vázquez (R)18.3%2.0 PA

Kai-Wei Teng · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.2% K/BF

vs LHB25.1%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload17.2 BF

Expected batters faced17.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Christian Yelich (L)25.7%2.0 PA

2Jackson Chourio (R)25.5%2.0 PA

3Brice Turang (L)22.7%2.0 PA

4William Contreras (R)16.1%2.0 PA

5Jake Bauers (L)24.5%2.0 PA

6Blake Perkins (L)24.8%2.0 PA

7Luis Rengifo (L)14.6%2.0 PA

8Sal Frelick (L)14.9%2.0 PA

9Joey Ortiz (R)18.1%1.3 PA