‹ Strikeouts · Friday, May 29, 2026
ATL @ CIN Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 29, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
8–3
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 79°F Partly CloudyWind 2 mph, In From LF
Grant Holmes · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.7% K/BF
vs LHB24.8%
vs RHB20.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BRBetRivers-107-125
BOVBovada-115-115
DKDraftKings-111-115
FDFanDuel-108-122
We project 5.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)21.5%3.0 PA
2Elly De La Cruz (L)26.8%3.0 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)19.9%3.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)21.3%3.0 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)23.7%2.8 PA
6Nathaniel Lowe (L)22.0%2.0 PA
7Spencer Steer (R)22.0%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)27.1%2.0 PA
9Will Benson (L)27.7%2.0 PA
Chris Paddack · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.9% K/BF
vs LHB17.9%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.2 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers-129-104
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-132+104
FANFanatics-125-105
FDFanDuel-124+102
We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)21.9%3.0 PA
2Michael Harris II (L)19.8%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)23.4%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)18.3%3.0 PA
5Dominic Smith (L)20.4%2.3 PA
6Austin Riley (R)26.3%2.0 PA
7Mike Yastrzemski (L)21.1%2.0 PA
8Jorge Mateo (R)23.0%2.0 PA
9Chadwick Tromp (R)21.5%2.0 PA