‹ Strikeouts · Saturday, May 30, 2026
CHC @ STL Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
6–1
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 78°F CloudyWind 5 mph, Out To LF
Ben Brown · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.0% K/BF
vs LHB24.7%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.2%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.8 BF
Expected batters faced17.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.6 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-175+130
BRBetRivers-162+120
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-164+128
FDFanDuel-162+122
We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)21.2%2.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)20.2%2.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)18.7%2.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)23.1%2.0 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)29.1%2.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)23.6%2.0 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)29.5%2.0 PA
8Bryan Torres (L)20.0%2.0 PA
9Victor Scott II (L)23.7%1.8 PA
Kyle Leahy · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.0% K/BF
vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BRBetRivers-143+108
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-141+110
FANFanatics-150+115
FDFanDuel-152+124
We project 4.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.4%3.0 PA
2Nico Hoerner (R)11.1%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)21.6%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)17.2%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)27.4%2.9 PA
6Seiya Suzuki (R)26.2%2.0 PA
7Moisés Ballesteros (L)21.6%2.0 PA
8Miguel Amaya (R)23.1%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)21.9%2.0 PA