MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Saturday, May 30, 2026

MIN @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026

MIN
MIN
Minnesota Twins
910
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 72°F SunnyWind 9 mph, L To R

MIN Bailey Ober · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.9% K/BF

vs LHB17.6%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BRBetRivers-150+112
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-156+122
FDFanDuel-158+118

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)16.2%3.0 PA
2Tyler Callihan (L)21.1%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)21.6%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)17.9%3.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)29.2%3.0 PA
6Konnor Griffin (R)23.0%2.7 PA
7Endy Rodríguez (L)24.7%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)19.6%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)25.1%2.0 PA

PIT Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.3% K/BF

vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BRBetRivers+100-134
BOVBovada+100-130
DKDraftKings+105-134
FANFanatics+110-145
FDFanDuel+102-124

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Byron Buxton (R)25.4%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)17.6%3.0 PA
3Josh Bell (L)21.3%3.0 PA
4Kody Clemens (L)23.4%3.0 PA
5Austin Martin (R)20.5%3.0 PA
6James Outman (L)31.1%2.3 PA
7Orlando Arcia (R)19.4%2.0 PA
8Luke Keaschall (R)16.9%2.0 PA
9Ryan Kreidler (R)29.4%2.0 PA