MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Saturday, May 30, 2026

MIA @ NYM Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
16
Final
NYM
New York Mets
NYM
Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft 57°F CloudyWind 14 mph, In From CF

MIA Tyler Phillips · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.2% K/BF

vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB19.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload15.9 BF

Expected batters faced15.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BRBetRivers-112-120
BOVBovada-120-110
DKDraftKings-104-123
FANFanatics-105-125
FDFanDuel-118-112

We project 3.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)21.1%2.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)19.2%2.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)18.3%2.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)23.8%2.0 PA
5Mark Vientos (R)21.1%2.0 PA
6A.J. Ewing (L)27.1%2.0 PA
7Marcus Semien (R)19.7%1.9 PA
8Vidal Bruján (L)20.9%1.0 PA
9Hayden Senger (R)23.4%1.0 PA

NYM Christian Scott · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.5% K/BF

vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BRBetRivers+110-148
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+115-146
FDFanDuel+120-148

We project 4.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Xavier Edwards (L)14.5%3.0 PA
2Liam Hicks (L)12.3%3.0 PA
3Otto Lopez (R)17.3%3.0 PA
4Kyle Stowers (L)27.0%2.3 PA
5Jakob Marsee (L)19.5%2.0 PA
6Leo Jiménez (R)19.1%2.0 PA
7Owen Caissie (L)32.1%2.0 PA
8Christopher Morel (R)27.1%2.0 PA
9Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0 PA