‹ Strikeouts · Saturday, May 30, 2026
BOS @ CLE Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026
BOS
Boston Red Sox
9–1
Final
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
◆ Progressive FieldElevation 653 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 61°F SunnyWind 24 mph, In From RF
Sonny Gray · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.0% K/BF
vs LHB22.3%
vs RHB23.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.6 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers-152+114
BOVBovada-150+115
DKDraftKings-152+119
FANFanatics-145+110
FDFanDuel-154+116
We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CLE lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Travis Bazzana (L)17.3%3.0 PA
2José Ramírez (L)17.3%3.0 PA
3Chase DeLauter (L)15.3%3.0 PA
4Rhys Hoskins (R)26.2%2.6 PA
5Stuart Fairchild (R)27.0%2.0 PA
6David Fry (R)22.4%2.0 PA
7Petey Halpin (L)22.8%2.0 PA
8Austin Hedges (R)22.3%2.0 PA
9Brayan Rocchio (L)17.7%2.0 PA
Parker Messick · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.7% K/BF
vs LHB20.8%
vs RHB27.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.1%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BRBetRivers-159+120
BOVBovada-150+115
DKDraftKings-158+123
FDFanDuel-144+118
We project 5.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)23.6%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)27.4%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)18.8%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)19.8%3.0 PA
5Marcelo Mayer (L)22.7%3.0 PA
6Masataka Yoshida (L)18.9%2.0 PA
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)20.3%2.0 PA
8Connor Wong (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Caleb Durbin (R)16.7%2.0 PA