‹ Strikeouts · Tuesday, June 2, 2026
SD @ PHI Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, June 2, 2026
SD
San Diego Padres
2–3
Final
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 75°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, In From CF
Randy Vásquez · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.6% K/BF
vs LHB18.1%
vs RHB17.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.1%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.3 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BRBetRivers-143+108
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-140+110
FANFanatics-130+100
FDFanDuel-130-102
We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kyle Schwarber (L)31.7%3.0 PA
2Trea Turner (R)22.6%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)20.3%3.0 PA
4Brandon Marsh (L)24.3%3.0 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)16.8%2.8 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)18.8%2.0 PA
7Justin Crawford (L)20.5%2.0 PA
8Adolis García (R)30.5%2.0 PA
9Rafael Marchán (L)19.5%2.0 PA
Aaron Nola · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.8% K/BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB23.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.1%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.0 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BRBetRivers+110-148
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+104-132
FDFanDuel+120-148
We project 5.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)18.8%3.0 PA
2Gavin Sheets (L)23.3%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)22.3%3.0 PA
4Miguel Andujar (R)18.7%3.0 PA
5Jackson Merrill (L)22.9%2.4 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)18.8%2.0 PA
7Jase Bowen (R)22.0%2.0 PA
8Sung-Mun Song (L)21.7%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)22.0%2.0 PA