‹ Strikeouts · Tuesday, June 2, 2026
BAL @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, June 2, 2026
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
4–2
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 73°F Partly CloudyWind 2 mph, L To R
Shane Baz · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.9% K/BF
vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.2 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers+120-162
BOVBovada+135-180
FDFanDuel+136-182
We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)26.2%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)18.3%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)22.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)24.2%3.0 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)14.1%3.0 PA
6Mickey Gasper (L)21.5%3.0 PA
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)17.7%2.5 PA
8Marcelo Mayer (L)19.8%2.0 PA
9Caleb Durbin (R)18.1%2.0 PA
Connelly Early · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.8% K/BF
vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BRBetRivers-130-103
BOVBovada-150+115
DKDraftKings-138+108
FANFanatics-150+115
FDFanDuel-144+118
We project 5.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)19.9%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)24.0%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (R)16.9%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)23.0%3.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)27.1%3.0 PA
6Jeremiah Jackson (R)23.7%2.6 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)25.5%2.0 PA
8Leody Taveras (R)22.3%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)22.8%2.0 PA