‹ Strikeouts · Friday, June 5, 2026
PIT @ ATL Strikeouts matchups · Friday, June 5, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
3–6
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 82°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, R To L
Mitch Keller · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.0% K/BF
vs LHB20.3%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+124-166
BOVBovada+125-165
BRBetRivers+106-141
DKDraftKings+111-142
We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)20.4%3.0 PA
2Eli White (R)22.1%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)21.9%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)17.2%3.0 PA
5Mauricio Dubón (R)18.6%3.0 PA
6Dominic Smith (L)18.4%2.4 PA
7Austin Riley (R)25.4%2.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)20.2%2.0 PA
9Sandy León (L)24.6%2.0 PA
Martín Pérez · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.9% K/BF
vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB19.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.4 BF
Expected batters faced19.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.0 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-120-102
FANFanatics-120-110
BOVBovada-125-105
BRBetRivers-129-104
DKDraftKings-133+105
We project 4.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Nick Gonzales (R)22.0%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)26.6%2.4 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (R)21.1%2.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)26.0%2.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)29.0%2.0 PA
6Ryan O'Hearn (L)22.4%2.0 PA
7Spencer Horwitz (L)18.6%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)20.4%2.0 PA
9Endy Rodríguez (R)21.0%2.0 PA