BAL @ TOR Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, June 6, 2026

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

4–6

Final

TOR

Toronto Blue Jays

◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 77°F SunnyWind 22 mph, L To R

Kyle Bradish · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+124-166

BOVBovada+125-165

MGMBetMGM+130-175

We project 4.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1George Springer (R)20.7%3.0 PA

2Nathan Lukes (L)16.4%3.0 PA

3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)12.5%3.0 PA

4Daulton Varsho (L)20.7%3.0 PA

5Ernie Clement (R)14.2%3.0 PA

6Brandon Valenzuela (L)21.8%2.6 PA

7Kazuma Okamoto (R)32.4%2.0 PA

8Andrés Giménez (L)21.8%2.0 PA

9Myles Straw (R)17.4%2.0 PA

Braydon Fisher · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.9% K/BF

vs LHB26.4%

vs RHB23.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.2 BF

Expected batters faced13.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Taylor Ward (R)22.8%2.0 PA

2Gunnar Henderson (L)22.4%2.0 PA

3Adley Rutschman (L)17.4%2.0 PA

4Pete Alonso (R)21.3%2.0 PA

5Coby Mayo (R)28.4%1.3 PA

6Leody Taveras (L)21.9%1.0 PA

7Samuel Basallo (L)20.5%1.0 PA

8Blaze Alexander (R)23.9%1.0 PA

9Jeremiah Jackson (R)19.5%1.0 PA