MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Saturday, June 6, 2026

NYM @ SD Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, June 6, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
23
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 68°F CloudyWind 6 mph, L To R

NYM Nolan McLean · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.0% K/BF

vs LHB24.9%
vs RHB25.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-144+108
BOVBovada-145+110
FANFanatics-140+105
MGMBetMGM-150+110
DKDraftKings-143+112
BRBetRivers-141+106

We project 5.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)18.7%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)24.1%3.0 PA
3Ty France (R)22.6%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)22.9%3.0 PA
5Jase Bowen (R)22.0%3.0 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)20.2%2.2 PA
7Miguel Andujar (R)18.6%2.0 PA
8Sung-Mun Song (L)22.7%2.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)23.3%2.0 PA

SD Griffin Canning · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.1% K/BF

vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-118-104
BOVBovada-120-110
MGMBetMGM-120-110
DKDraftKings-124-103
BRBetRivers-114-117

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)22.8%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)19.2%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)17.4%3.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)23.8%2.7 PA
5Marcus Semien (R)20.0%2.0 PA
6A.J. Ewing (L)27.9%2.0 PA
7Mark Vientos (R)21.6%2.0 PA
8Brett Baty (L)26.9%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)22.4%2.0 PA