MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

AZ @ MIA Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
vs
6:40 PM EDT
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft

AZ Ryne Nelson · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.6% K/BF

vs LHB17.8%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.5 BF

Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-102-130
FANFanatics+110-145
DKDraftKings+102-130
BOVBovada+100-130
BRBetRivers+105-139
MGMBetMGM+105-140

We project 4.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Liam Hicks (L)12.8%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)18.3%3.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)28.8%3.0 PA
4Xavier Edwards (L)15.0%3.0 PA
5Javier Sanoja (R)15.8%3.0 PA
6Esteury Ruiz (R)25.7%3.0 PA
7Jakob Marsee (L)20.0%2.5 PA
8Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0 PA
9Connor Norby (R)26.9%2.0 PA

MIA Ryan Gusto · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.4% K/BF

vs LHB20.8%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.9 BF

Expected batters faced18.9
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers-108-124

We project 4.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)17.4%2.9 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)21.4%2.0 PA
3Gabriel Moreno (R)19.8%2.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)21.8%2.0 PA
5Pavin Smith (L)23.6%2.0 PA
6Geraldo Perdomo (L)15.9%2.0 PA
7Ryan Waldschmidt (R)31.1%2.0 PA
8LuJames Groover (R)22.0%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)20.4%2.0 PA