Best MLB Fantasy Points Matchups — Wednesday, June 17, 2026
Top fantasy points spot: James Wood
James Wood (WSH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Luinder Avila. The lefty is piling up fantasy points at 2.325 fantasy/PA against righties this year — and 2.600 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat worth about 2.11 fantasy points a trip. And Luinder Avila has been getting lit up by righties lately — 3.000 fantasy points per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 1 career PA against Luinder Avila, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (99) vs RHP Braxton Ashcraft: an excellent bat at 2.199 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.975), hot bat.
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (93) vs RHP Peter Lambert: an excellent bat at 2.120 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.912).
- Liam Hicks (MIA) (87) vs RHP Andrew Painter: a strong bat at 1.962 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (3.085), hot bat.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (86) vs RHP Gavin Williams: an excellent bat at 2.124 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) (85) vs RHP Aaron Civale: a strong bat at 1.948 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (82) vs LHP Anthony Kay: an excellent bat at 2.173 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Matt Chapman (SF) (82) vs RHP JR Ritchie: a strong bat at 1.980 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Arms giving up fantasy points today
- RHP Andrew Painter has been getting lit up by righties — 2.049 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Liam Hicks (MIA), Otto Lopez (MIA), and Xavier Edwards (MIA).
- RHP Luinder Avila has been getting lit up by righties — 2.032 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: James Wood (WSH), Luis García Jr. (WSH), and CJ Abrams (WSH).
- RHP Zack Littell has been vulnerable to righties — 1.889 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Jac Caglianone (KC), Lane Thomas (KC), and Bobby Witt Jr. (KC).
- RHP Peter Lambert has been vulnerable to righties — 1.838 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Dillon Dingler (DET), Kerry Carpenter (DET), and Kevin McGonigle (DET).
Platoon edges to target
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.325 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.268 against righties this year.
- Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.152 against righties this year.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.268 against righties this year.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, 2.736 against lefties this year.
Lineup watch
252 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these fantasy points matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's fantasy points per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.