Best MLB Runs Matchups — Saturday, June 13, 2026
Top runs spot: Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. The righty is scoring at .227 R/PA against lefties this year — and .350 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a run in about 18% of his trips. And Kyle Freeland has been getting lit up by lefties lately — .214 runs per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Kyle Freeland too — 1.000 across 2 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Christian Yelich (MIL) (97) vs RHP Aaron Nola: an elite bat at .183 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.217).
- Gleyber Torres (DET) (89) vs LHP Joey Cantillo: an excellent bat at .162 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.393).
- Liam Hicks (MIA) (86) vs RHP Bubba Chandler: a strong bat at .130 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.294).
- James Wood (WSH) (80) vs RHP Luis Castillo: an elite bat at .172 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.083).
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (80) vs RHP Trevor McDonald: an excellent bat at .158 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.138).
- Brice Turang (MIL) (76) vs RHP Aaron Nola: an excellent bat at .159 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.217).
- Hunter Goodman (COL) (75) vs RHP Joey Estes: an excellent bat at .161 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—), due to bounce back.
Platoon edges to target
- Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .227 against lefties this year.
- Christian Yelich (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .221 against righties this year.
- Gleyber Torres (DET) — righty bat vs LHP, .256 against lefties this year.
- Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .148 against righties this year.
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .209 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.