MatchWiz
Hits · Wednesday, May 20, 2026

LAD @ SD Hits matchups · Wednesday, May 20, 2026

LAD
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
40
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 74°F ClearWind 8 mph, L To R

LAD LAD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30423 BF
Season.224116 BF
Last 2 Years.250568 BF
wOBA allowed.291
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 BF
Season.19587 BF
Last 2 Years.215562 BF
wOBA allowed.294
Hard-Hit %42%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.254

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.33342 PA
Season.208154 PA
Last 2 Years.234986 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.250

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30423 PA
Season.224116 PA
Last 2 Years.250568 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.203

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.200225 PA
Season.193610 PA
Last 2 Years.1983461 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.387
Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected Hits1.178

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits3 books

MGMBetMGM-250
BRBetRivers-250
BOLBetOnline-294

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.218

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16724 PA
Season.18050 PA
Last 2 Years.224737 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.218

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA
Season.19587 PA
Last 2 Years.215562 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.178

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135193 PA
Season.192522 PA
Last 2 Years.2033662 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.286
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.97

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

MGMBetMGM-225
BOLBetOnline-238
BRBetRivers-250
DKDraftKings-277

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.231

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17540 PA
Season.245147 PA
Last 2 Years.254883 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.250

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30423 PA
Season.224116 PA
Last 2 Years.250568 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.203

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.200225 PA
Season.193610 PA
Last 2 Years.1983461 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.350
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits1.046

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

BOLBetOnline-244
BRBetRivers-245
MGMBetMGM-250
DKDraftKings-260

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.211

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15040 PA
Season.206155 PA
Last 2 Years.223646 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.250

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30423 PA
Season.224116 PA
Last 2 Years.250568 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.203

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.200225 PA
Season.193610 PA
Last 2 Years.1983461 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Hits1.009

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

BOLBetOnline-182
BRBetRivers-182
DKDraftKings-184
MGMBetMGM-190

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.244

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.22549 PA
Season.269160 PA
Last 2 Years.229879 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.218

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA
Season.19587 PA
Last 2 Years.215562 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.178

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135193 PA
Season.192522 PA
Last 2 Years.2033662 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.286
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~2.7× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.96

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

BRBetRivers-230
MGMBetMGM-235
BOLBetOnline-238
DKDraftKings-245

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.221

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19142 PA
Season.219146 PA
Last 2 Years.211549 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.250

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30423 PA
Season.224116 PA
Last 2 Years.250568 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.203

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.200225 PA
Season.193610 PA
Last 2 Years.1983461 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.356
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.926

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

BOLBetOnline-147
BRBetRivers-148
MGMBetMGM-150
DKDraftKings-152

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.227

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17135 PA
Season.238122 PA
Last 2 Years.236713 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.218

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA
Season.19587 PA
Last 2 Years.215562 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.178

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135193 PA
Season.192522 PA
Last 2 Years.2033662 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.286
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Hits0.884

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

MGMBetMGM-165
BOLBetOnline-169
BRBetRivers-175
DKDraftKings-176

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.250

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.26745 PA
Season.246138 PA
Last 2 Years.240894 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.218

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA
Season.19587 PA
Last 2 Years.215562 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.178

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135193 PA
Season.192522 PA
Last 2 Years.2033662 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.286
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.883

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

BRBetRivers-162
BOLBetOnline-169
DKDraftKings-170
MGMBetMGM-175

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.235

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18438 PA
Season.255102 PA
Last 2 Years.251251 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.250

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30423 PA
Season.224116 PA
Last 2 Years.250568 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.203

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.200225 PA
Season.193610 PA
Last 2 Years.1983461 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.888

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

BOLBetOnline-123
DKDraftKings-128
BRBetRivers-129
MGMBetMGM-130

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

SD SD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17423 BF
Season.14490 BF
Last 2 Years.156173 BF
wOBA allowed.209
Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13829 BF
Season.14881 BF
Last 2 Years.204186 BF
wOBA allowed.231
Hard-Hit %38%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.222

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19252 PA
Season.210171 PA
Last 2 Years.246847 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13829 PA
Season.14881 PA
Last 2 Years.204186 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.192

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.184245 PA
Season.184803 PA
Last 2 Years.1953098 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.290
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.275
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.985

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

MGMBetMGM-160
BRBetRivers-165
BOLBetOnline-172
DKDraftKings-180

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.267

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.26745 PA
Season.305105 PA
Last 2 Years.265611 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13829 PA
Season.14881 PA
Last 2 Years.204186 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.192

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.184245 PA
Season.184803 PA
Last 2 Years.1953098 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.345
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.275
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 8-game streak

Projection

Projected Hits1.099

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

MGMBetMGM-175
BRBetRivers-182
BOLBetOnline-196
DKDraftKings-207

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.246

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27943 PA
Season.231134 PA
Last 2 Years.220804 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.201

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17423 PA
Season.14490 PA
Last 2 Years.156173 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.224

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.216139 PA
Season.233579 PA
Last 2 Years.1992005 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.395
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.268
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Hits1.051

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

BRBetRivers-134
DKDraftKings-134
BOLBetOnline-135
MGMBetMGM-140

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.175

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08249 PA
Season.133158 PA
Last 2 Years.2451007 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13829 PA
Season.14881 PA
Last 2 Years.204186 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.192

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.184245 PA
Season.184803 PA
Last 2 Years.1953098 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.267
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.275
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.817

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

BRBetRivers-139
MGMBetMGM-140
BOLBetOnline-145
FANFanatics-145
DKDraftKings-149

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.233

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.22245 PA
Season.221154 PA
Last 2 Years.240745 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13829 PA
Season.14881 PA
Last 2 Years.204186 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.192

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.184245 PA
Season.184803 PA
Last 2 Years.1953098 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.275
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.923

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

BRBetRivers-136
DKDraftKings-143
BOLBetOnline-145
MGMBetMGM-150

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.25020 PA
Last 2 Years.286105 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.201

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17423 PA
Season.14490 PA
Last 2 Years.156173 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.224

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.216139 PA
Season.233579 PA
Last 2 Years.1992005 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.268
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Hits0.966

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.237

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.28025 PA
Season.18775 PA
Last 2 Years.237830 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13829 PA
Season.14881 PA
Last 2 Years.204186 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.192

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.184245 PA
Season.184803 PA
Last 2 Years.1953098 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.275
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.600
Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Hits0.902

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

MGMBetMGM-115
BRBetRivers-117
BOLBetOnline-120
DKDraftKings-123

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.204

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.197137 PA
Last 2 Years.243626 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13829 PA
Season.14881 PA
Last 2 Years.204186 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.192

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.184245 PA
Season.184803 PA
Last 2 Years.1953098 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.275
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.154
Plate Appearances13

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Hits0.811

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

BRBetRivers+108
MGMBetMGM+105
DKDraftKings+105
BOLBetOnline+100

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.183

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA
Season.10080 PA
Last 2 Years.223516 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13829 PA
Season.14881 PA
Last 2 Years.204186 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.192

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.184245 PA
Season.184803 PA
Last 2 Years.1953098 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.239
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.275
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Hits0.75

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

MGMBetMGM+100
DKDraftKings-101
BOLBetOnline-103
BRBetRivers-110

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.