Best MLB Hits Matchups — Tuesday, June 9, 2026
Top hits spot: Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Tomoyuki Sugano. The lefty is hitting .214 H/PA against righties this year — and .333 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a hit in about 26% of his trips. And Tomoyuki Sugano has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .353 hits per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 3 career PA against Tomoyuki Sugano, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a hitter's park, though the weather fights it.
The rest of the top of the board
- Victor Robles (SEA) (96) vs LHP Trevor Rogers: an excellent bat at .272 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.229), due to bounce back.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) (91) vs RHP Grant Holmes: an excellent bat at .279 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.308).
- Casey Schmitt (SF) (91) vs LHP Andrew Alvarez: an excellent bat at .297 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.269).
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (85) vs RHP Nick Martinez: an excellent bat at .274 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.389).
- Pedro Ramírez (CHC) (83) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .245 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.353), hitter's park.
- Shea Langeliers (ATH) (79) vs LHP Robert Gasser: an excellent bat at .294 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.273).
- Ben Rice (NYY) (78) vs RHP Slade Cecconi: a strong bat at .262 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.280).
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Nick Martinez has been vulnerable to righties — .279 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS), Willson Contreras (BOS), and Jarren Duran (BOS).
- RHP Adrian Houser has been vulnerable to righties — .274 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: James Wood (WSH), CJ Abrams (WSH), and Daylen Lile (WSH).
- RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been vulnerable to righties — .262 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Pedro Ramírez (CHC), and Ian Happ (CHC).
- RHP Zac Gallen has been giving up plenty to righties — .258 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), and Xavier Edwards (MIA).
Platoon edges to target
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .214 against righties this year.
- Victor Robles (SEA) — righty bat vs LHP, .333 against lefties this year.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .283 against righties this year.
- Casey Schmitt (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .375 against lefties this year.
- Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .329 against lefties this year.
Best parks to hit in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) at 100.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Alec Burleson (STL), Josh Jung (TEX), Luis Arraez (SF), Yandy Díaz (TB), and Blake Dunn (CIN). Cold but due to bounce back: Victor Robles (SEA), Gleyber Torres (DET), Alex Bregman (CHC), Jarren Duran (BOS), and Joc Pederson (TEX).
How it played out
5 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Pete Crow-Armstrong finished with 0 hits. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.