Best MLB Hits Matchups — Wednesday, June 10, 2026
Top hits spot: Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Michael Lorenzen. The lefty is hitting .214 H/PA against righties this year — and .366 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a hit in about 26% of his trips. And Michael Lorenzen has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .538 hits per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Michael Lorenzen. It all sets up in a hitter's park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Pedro Ramírez (CHC) (95) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a solid bat at .245 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.538), hitter's park, due to bounce back.
- Ian Happ (CHC) (83) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a strong bat at .266 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.538), hitter's park.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (81) vs LHP Parker Messick: an elite bat at .314 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.212).
- Casey Schmitt (SF) (76) vs LHP Foster Griffin: an excellent bat at .297 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.226).
- Michael Busch (CHC) (76) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a league-average bat at .223 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.538), hitter's park.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (75) vs LHP Shota Imanaga: an excellent bat at .277 into an arm tough on the same side (.125), hitter's park.
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (71) vs LHP Jake Bennett: a strong bat at .265 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—), hot bat.
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Michael Lorenzen has been getting tattooed by righties — .313 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Pedro Ramírez (CHC), and Ian Happ (CHC).
- RHP Peter Lambert has been vulnerable to righties — .281 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Jose Siri (LAA), Zach Neto (LAA), and Nick Madrigal (LAA).
- RHP Brandon Young has been vulnerable to righties — .276 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Victor Robles (SEA), Randy Arozarena (SEA), and Julio Rodríguez (SEA).
- RHP George Kirby has been vulnerable to righties — .270 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Blaze Alexander (BAL), Taylor Ward (BAL), and Pete Alonso (BAL).
Platoon edges to target
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .214 against righties this year.
- Ian Happ (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .221 against righties this year.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .339 against lefties this year.
- Casey Schmitt (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .375 against lefties this year.
- Michael Busch (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .206 against righties this year.
Best parks to hit in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) at 100.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Yandy Díaz (TB), Randy Arozarena (SEA), Zach Neto (LAA), Miguel Vargas (CWS), Alec Burleson (STL), and Seiya Suzuki (CHC). Cold but due to bounce back: Pedro Ramírez (CHC), Nick Gonzales (PIT), Jeremy Peña (HOU), Bobby Witt Jr. (KC), and TJ Rumfield (COL).
Lineup watch
225 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.