Best MLB H+R+RBI Matchups — Monday, June 15, 2026
Top h+r+rbi spot: Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Michael Lorenzen. The lefty is stacking production at .500 (H+R+RBI)/PA against righties this year — and .795 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a H+R+RBI in about 56% of his trips. And Michael Lorenzen has been tough on righties lately — .375 H+R+RBI per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Michael Lorenzen too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Wade Meckler (LAA) (90) vs RHP Ryne Nelson: an excellent bat at .577 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.778), due to bounce back.
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) (90) vs RHP Mitch Spence: a strong bat at .546 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—).
- James Wood (WSH) (87) vs RHP Mitch Spence: a strong bat at .507 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—), hot bat.
- Andy Pages (LAD) (86) vs RHP Nick Martinez: a strong bat at .528 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.875).
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (84) vs RHP Jared Jones: a strong bat at .524 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.474), hot bat.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (80) vs RHP Nick Martinez: an excellent bat at .553 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.480).
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (79) vs RHP Troy Melton: an excellent bat at .612 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.406), hot bat.
Arms giving up production today
- RHP Mitch Spence has been getting lit up by righties — .544 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Luis García Jr. (WSH), James Wood (WSH), and CJ Abrams (WSH).
- RHP Michael Lorenzen has been getting lit up by righties — .530 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Alex Bregman (CHC), and Ian Happ (CHC).
- RHP Ryne Nelson has been getting lit up by righties — .527 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Wade Meckler (LAA), Zach Neto (LAA), and Nolan Schanuel (LAA).
- RHP Nick Martinez has been vulnerable to righties — .517 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Andy Pages (LAD), Shohei Ohtani (LAD), and Freddie Freeman (LAD).
Platoon edges to target
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .500 against righties this year.
- Wade Meckler (LAA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .667 against righties this year.
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .538 against righties this year.
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .565 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .538 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
180 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these h+r+rbi matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.