BOS @ HOU Home Runs matchups · Monday, March 30, 2026

BOS

Boston Red Sox

1–8

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

BOS Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.023129 BF

wOBA allowed.326

Hard-Hit %39%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.048145 BF

wOBA allowed.420

Hard-Hit %43%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.00012 PA

Last 2 Years.018217 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.023129 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03754 PA

Season.03754 PA

Last 2 Years.0312170 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.148

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA

Season.08312 PA

Last 2 Years.036577 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.048145 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.057105 PA

Season.057105 PA

Last 2 Years.0302428 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.353

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.16

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.0007 PA

Last 2 Years.030995 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.023129 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03754 PA

Season.03754 PA

Last 2 Years.0312170 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.152

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.0008 PA

Last 2 Years.038692 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.048145 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.057105 PA

Season.057105 PA

Last 2 Years.0302428 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.353

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.153

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.2508 PA

Season.2508 PA

Last 2 Years.050737 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.023129 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03754 PA

Season.03754 PA

Last 2 Years.0312170 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.179

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.016

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.010693 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.048145 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.057105 PA

Season.057105 PA

Last 2 Years.0302428 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %26%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.353

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.263

Plate Appearances19

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.059

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.0009 PA

Last 2 Years.034118 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.023129 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03754 PA

Season.03754 PA

Last 2 Years.0312170 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.129

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA

Season.0005 PA

Last 2 Years.033330 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.048145 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.057105 PA

Season.057105 PA

Last 2 Years.0302428 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.353

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.128

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.0008 PA

Last 2 Years.025848 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.048145 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.057105 PA

Season.057105 PA

Last 2 Years.0302428 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.353

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.106

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

HOU Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.028249 BF

wOBA allowed.290

Hard-Hit %29%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.0201028 BF

wOBA allowed.299

Hard-Hit %29%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.0008 PA

Last 2 Years.037299 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.0201028 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02580 PA

Season.02580 PA

Last 2 Years.0273722 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.340

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances10

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.147

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA

Season.1258 PA

Last 2 Years.052252 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.028249 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA

Season.05020 PA

Last 2 Years.0252521 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.352

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.714

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.196

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.007152 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.0201028 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02580 PA

Season.02580 PA

Last 2 Years.0273722 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.291

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.086

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.0007 PA

Last 2 Years.043232 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.0201028 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02580 PA

Season.02580 PA

Last 2 Years.0273722 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.151

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA

Season.0005 PA

Last 2 Years.027292 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.0201028 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02580 PA

Season.02580 PA

Last 2 Years.0273722 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.192

Plate Appearances26

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.132

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.0007 PA

Last 2 Years.028144 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.0201028 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02580 PA

Season.02580 PA

Last 2 Years.0273722 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.117

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.0004 PA

Last 2 Years.014219 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.0201028 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02580 PA

Season.02580 PA

Last 2 Years.0273722 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.115

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA

Season.0006 PA

Last 2 Years.041294 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.0201028 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02580 PA

Season.02580 PA

Last 2 Years.0273722 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.125

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.0004 PA

Last 2 Years.00015 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.0201028 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02580 PA

Season.02580 PA

Last 2 Years.0273722 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.115

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.