MatchWiz
Home Runs · Thursday, April 16, 2026

SEA @ SD Home Runs matchups · Thursday, April 16, 2026

SEA
SEA
Seattle Mariners
25
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 66°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, Out To RF

SEA SEA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 BF
Season.00027 BF
Last 2 Years.031520 BF
wOBA allowed.351
Hard-Hit %15%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 BF
Season.03826 BF
Last 2 Years.052442 BF
wOBA allowed.265
Hard-Hit %38%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.06745 PA
Last 2 Years.029795 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.031520 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA
Season.018277 PA
Last 2 Years.0242629 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.346
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.168

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04346 PA
Season.03361 PA
Last 2 Years.061978 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.031520 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA
Season.018277 PA
Last 2 Years.0242629 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.778
Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.212

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00045 PA
Season.00061 PA
Last 2 Years.036988 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03826 PA
Last 2 Years.052442 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012164 PA
Season.021239 PA
Last 2 Years.0252952 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.148

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.03459 PA
Last 2 Years.042881 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.031520 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA
Season.018277 PA
Last 2 Years.0242629 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273
Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.167

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02344 PA
Season.01662 PA
Last 2 Years.031992 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03826 PA
Last 2 Years.052442 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012164 PA
Season.021239 PA
Last 2 Years.0252952 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.144

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.019257 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03826 PA
Last 2 Years.052442 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012164 PA
Season.021239 PA
Last 2 Years.0252952 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.108

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.015735 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.031520 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA
Season.018277 PA
Last 2 Years.0242629 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.101

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00010 PA
Last 2 Years.029381 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03826 PA
Last 2 Years.052442 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012164 PA
Season.021239 PA
Last 2 Years.0252952 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.108

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA
Season.01855 PA
Last 2 Years.020245 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.031520 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA
Season.018277 PA
Last 2 Years.0242629 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.102

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

SD SD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 BF
Season.03529 BF
Last 2 Years.040701 BF
wOBA allowed.325
Hard-Hit %43%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 BF
Season.00033 BF
Last 2 Years.025726 BF
wOBA allowed.439
Hard-Hit %45%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06447 PA
Season.07156 PA
Last 2 Years.044565 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.025726 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020254 PA
Season.017299 PA
Last 2 Years.0263927 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.21

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00051 PA
Season.00064 PA
Last 2 Years.042827 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.025726 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020254 PA
Season.017299 PA
Last 2 Years.0263927 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.172

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04248 PA
Season.05159 PA
Last 2 Years.046757 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.03529 PA
Last 2 Years.040701 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013159 PA
Season.019308 PA
Last 2 Years.0293588 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.212

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04445 PA
Season.03459 PA
Last 2 Years.038984 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.025726 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020254 PA
Season.017299 PA
Last 2 Years.0263927 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.238
Plate Appearances21

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.157

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06546 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.027734 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.025726 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020254 PA
Season.017299 PA
Last 2 Years.0263927 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~2.1× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.13

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05139 PA
Season.04050 PA
Last 2 Years.031816 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.03529 PA
Last 2 Years.040701 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013159 PA
Season.019308 PA
Last 2 Years.0293588 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.091
Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.141

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00028 PA
Last 2 Years.017534 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.025726 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020254 PA
Season.017299 PA
Last 2 Years.0263927 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.102

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.05319 PA
Last 2 Years.024205 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.025726 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020254 PA
Season.017299 PA
Last 2 Years.0263927 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 7-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.129

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.02051 PA
Last 2 Years.027825 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.03529 PA
Last 2 Years.040701 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013159 PA
Season.019308 PA
Last 2 Years.0293588 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.154
Plate Appearances13

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.121

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.