TB @ BOS Home Runs matchups · Thursday, May 7, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

8–4

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 62°F ClearWind 16 mph, Out To RF

TB Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.0008 PA

Last 2 Years.00055 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.067135 PA

Season.044337 PA

Last 2 Years.0302593 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 7 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.15

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.0004 PA

Last 2 Years.00028 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.067135 PA

Season.044337 PA

Last 2 Years.0302593 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +15%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.151

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14314 PA

Season.04941 PA

Last 2 Years.057262 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020247 PA

Season.024620 PA

Last 2 Years.0233827 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.181

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.02343 PA

Last 2 Years.013160 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.067135 PA

Season.044337 PA

Last 2 Years.0302593 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.134

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA

Season.05636 PA

Last 2 Years.019155 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020247 PA

Season.024620 PA

Last 2 Years.0233827 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2.5× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.129

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA

Season.00042 PA

Last 2 Years.000136 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020247 PA

Season.024620 PA

Last 2 Years.0233827 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.115

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA

Season.00049 PA

Last 2 Years.000162 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.067135 PA

Season.044337 PA

Last 2 Years.0302593 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.092

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA

Season.00025 PA

Last 2 Years.018221 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.067135 PA

Season.044337 PA

Last 2 Years.0302593 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.11

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.00033 PA

Last 2 Years.000189 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020247 PA

Season.024620 PA

Last 2 Years.0233827 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.084

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

BOS Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 BF

Season.05636 BF

Last 2 Years.025285 BF

wOBA allowed.385

Hard-Hit %52%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 BF

Season.03826 BF

Last 2 Years.021282 BF

wOBA allowed.291

Hard-Hit %44%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06348 PA

Season.037107 PA

Last 2 Years.034979 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.05636 PA

Last 2 Years.025285 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010204 PA

Season.016501 PA

Last 2 Years.0292232 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.193

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04445 PA

Season.035114 PA

Last 2 Years.037703 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.03826 PA

Last 2 Years.021282 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.006167 PA

Season.019462 PA

Last 2 Years.0282577 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.161

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA

Season.037109 PA

Last 2 Years.049749 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.05636 PA

Last 2 Years.025285 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010204 PA

Season.016501 PA

Last 2 Years.0292232 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.429

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~1.9× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.202

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.018110 PA

Last 2 Years.034653 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.03826 PA

Last 2 Years.021282 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.006167 PA

Season.019462 PA

Last 2 Years.0282577 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.126

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.00055 PA

Last 2 Years.023471 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.05636 PA

Last 2 Years.025285 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010204 PA

Season.016501 PA

Last 2 Years.0292232 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.146

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA

Season.010101 PA

Last 2 Years.023842 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.03826 PA

Last 2 Years.021282 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.006167 PA

Season.019462 PA

Last 2 Years.0282577 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.097

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA

Season.00097 PA

Last 2 Years.019206 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.05636 PA

Last 2 Years.025285 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010204 PA

Season.016501 PA

Last 2 Years.0292232 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.108

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.00037 PA

Last 2 Years.009460 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.03826 PA

Last 2 Years.021282 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.006167 PA

Season.019462 PA

Last 2 Years.0282577 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.084

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA

Season.01096 PA

Last 2 Years.017469 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.03826 PA

Last 2 Years.021282 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.006167 PA

Season.019462 PA

Last 2 Years.0282577 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.091

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.