MatchWiz
Home Runs · Thursday, May 14, 2026

MIA @ MIN Home Runs matchups · Thursday, May 14, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
19
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft 75°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, R To L

MIA MIA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.061278 BF
wOBA allowed.400
Hard-Hit %41%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024253 BF
wOBA allowed.311
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.015138 PA
Last 2 Years.008768 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.061278 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026232 PA
Season.036616 PA
Last 2 Years.0353137 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.359
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.116

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05139 PA
Season.067119 PA
Last 2 Years.032443 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.061278 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026232 PA
Season.036616 PA
Last 2 Years.0353137 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.359
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.173

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA
Season.023128 PA
Last 2 Years.022810 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024253 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043187 PA
Season.019629 PA
Last 2 Years.0293358 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.124

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA
Season.01567 PA
Last 2 Years.048587 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.061278 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026232 PA
Season.036616 PA
Last 2 Years.0353137 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.359
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.182

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.00021 PA
Last 2 Years.031519 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024253 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043187 PA
Season.019629 PA
Last 2 Years.0293358 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00041 PA
Season.007138 PA
Last 2 Years.010291 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.061278 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026232 PA
Season.036616 PA
Last 2 Years.0353137 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.359
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.098

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.017176 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024253 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043187 PA
Season.019629 PA
Last 2 Years.0293358 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.118

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1119 PA
Season.1119 PA
Last 2 Years.05618 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024253 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043187 PA
Season.019629 PA
Last 2 Years.0293358 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.128

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00059 PA
Last 2 Years.011284 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024253 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043187 PA
Season.019629 PA
Last 2 Years.0293358 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.093

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

MIN MIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.03628 BF
wOBA allowed.327
Hard-Hit %27%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.027110 BF
wOBA allowed.305
Hard-Hit %37%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.01661 PA
Last 2 Years.012173 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.027110 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.024619 PA
Last 2 Years.0293091 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.137

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.03754 PA
Last 2 Years.028284 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.027110 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.024619 PA
Last 2 Years.0293091 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.135

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.02051 PA
Last 2 Years.036301 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.027110 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.024619 PA
Last 2 Years.0293091 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.149

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.01662 PA
Last 2 Years.029315 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.027110 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.024619 PA
Last 2 Years.0293091 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.125

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.02051 PA
Last 2 Years.030169 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.027110 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.024619 PA
Last 2 Years.0293091 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.134

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00061 PA
Last 2 Years.008127 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.027110 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.024619 PA
Last 2 Years.0293091 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.107

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00029 PA
Last 2 Years.028248 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.027110 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.024619 PA
Last 2 Years.0293091 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.118

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.07114 PA
Last 2 Years.02050 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.027110 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.024619 PA
Last 2 Years.0293091 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.121

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.01952 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.03628 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013239 PA
Season.018772 PA
Last 2 Years.0273102 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.113

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.