SD @ SEA Home Runs matchups · Friday, May 15, 2026

San Diego Padres

2–0

Final

SEA

Seattle Mariners

◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 53°F Roof ClosedWind 12 mph, In From LF

SD Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02638 BF

Season.050101 BF

Last 2 Years.054354 BF

wOBA allowed.292

Hard-Hit %43%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 BF

Season.03684 BF

Last 2 Years.030333 BF

wOBA allowed.305

Hard-Hit %28%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA

Season.029140 PA

Last 2 Years.044772 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA

Season.050101 PA

Last 2 Years.054354 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.044180 PA

Season.034621 PA

Last 2 Years.0334083 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.177

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.000150 PA

Last 2 Years.038832 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.03684 PA

Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA

Season.021562 PA

Last 2 Years.0264367 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.138

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA

Season.036140 PA

Last 2 Years.039997 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.03684 PA

Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA

Season.021562 PA

Last 2 Years.0264367 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.144

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA

Season.08050 PA

Last 2 Years.023691 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.03684 PA

Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA

Season.021562 PA

Last 2 Years.0264367 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.119

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA

Season.051136 PA

Last 2 Years.029734 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.03684 PA

Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA

Season.021562 PA

Last 2 Years.0264367 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.444

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.122

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA

Season.02484 PA

Last 2 Years.019590 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.03684 PA

Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA

Season.021562 PA

Last 2 Years.0264367 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2.1× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.098

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA

Season.041122 PA

Last 2 Years.042614 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.03684 PA

Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA

Season.021562 PA

Last 2 Years.0264367 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.136

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA

Season.00014 PA

Last 2 Years.00014 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA

Season.050101 PA

Last 2 Years.054354 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.044180 PA

Season.034621 PA

Last 2 Years.0334083 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.116

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.00069 PA

Last 2 Years.016509 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.03684 PA

Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA

Season.021562 PA

Last 2 Years.0264367 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.076

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

SEA Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 BF

Season.010102 BF

Last 2 Years.024554 BF

wOBA allowed.294

Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 BF

Season.03879 BF

Last 2 Years.031554 BF

wOBA allowed.312

Hard-Hit %44%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.04272 PA

Last 2 Years.028750 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.010102 PA

Last 2 Years.024554 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010198 PA

Season.013529 PA

Last 2 Years.0253214 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.346

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.214

Plate Appearances14

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.135

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA

Season.014147 PA

Last 2 Years.038985 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA

Season.03879 PA

Last 2 Years.031554 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA

Season.022457 PA

Last 2 Years.0283464 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.139

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA

Season.037135 PA

Last 2 Years.041883 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.010102 PA

Last 2 Years.024554 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010198 PA

Season.013529 PA

Last 2 Years.0253214 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.155

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA

Season.014144 PA

Last 2 Years.028990 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA

Season.03879 PA

Last 2 Years.031554 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA

Season.022457 PA

Last 2 Years.0283464 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.128

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.00012 PA

Last 2 Years.018218 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA

Season.03879 PA

Last 2 Years.031554 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA

Season.022457 PA

Last 2 Years.0283464 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2.8× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.101

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA

Season.036111 PA

Last 2 Years.019787 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.010102 PA

Last 2 Years.024554 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010198 PA

Season.013529 PA

Last 2 Years.0253214 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.105

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.00011 PA

Last 2 Years.019212 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA

Season.03879 PA

Last 2 Years.031554 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA

Season.022457 PA

Last 2 Years.0283464 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.105

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA

Season.008121 PA

Last 2 Years.016311 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.010102 PA

Last 2 Years.024554 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010198 PA

Season.013529 PA

Last 2 Years.0253214 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.082

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA

Season.02935 PA

Last 2 Years.030334 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA

Season.03879 PA

Last 2 Years.031554 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA

Season.022457 PA

Last 2 Years.0283464 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.095

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.