SD @ SEA Home Runs matchups · Saturday, May 16, 2026

San Diego Padres

7–4

Final

SEA

Seattle Mariners

◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 57°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, Calm

SD Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.12025 BF

Season.042118 BF

Last 2 Years.038638 BF

wOBA allowed.328

Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05319 BF

Season.03586 BF

Last 2 Years.034681 BF

wOBA allowed.332

Hard-Hit %43%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA

Season.028143 PA

Last 2 Years.044771 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.12025 PA

Season.042118 PA

Last 2 Years.038638 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030203 PA

Season.034614 PA

Last 2 Years.0353801 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.186

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00043 PA

Season.000153 PA

Last 2 Years.039830 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA

Season.03586 PA

Last 2 Years.034681 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.017179 PA

Season.021580 PA

Last 2 Years.0254023 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.152

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02344 PA

Season.035143 PA

Last 2 Years.039996 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA

Season.03586 PA

Last 2 Years.034681 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.017179 PA

Season.021580 PA

Last 2 Years.0254023 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111

Plate Appearances18

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.153

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA

Season.050119 PA

Last 2 Years.035795 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.12025 PA

Season.042118 PA

Last 2 Years.038638 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030203 PA

Season.034614 PA

Last 2 Years.0353801 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286

Plate Appearances14

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.154

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA

Season.050140 PA

Last 2 Years.029734 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA

Season.03586 PA

Last 2 Years.034681 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.017179 PA

Season.021580 PA

Last 2 Years.0254023 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2.9× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.129

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA

Season.02388 PA

Last 2 Years.018594 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA

Season.03586 PA

Last 2 Years.034681 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.017179 PA

Season.021580 PA

Last 2 Years.0254023 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.107

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.00018 PA

Last 2 Years.00018 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.12025 PA

Season.042118 PA

Last 2 Years.038638 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030203 PA

Season.034614 PA

Last 2 Years.0353801 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.121

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA

Season.040126 PA

Last 2 Years.042618 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA

Season.03586 PA

Last 2 Years.034681 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.017179 PA

Season.021580 PA

Last 2 Years.0254023 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.231

Plate Appearances13

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.141

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA

Season.03586 PA

Last 2 Years.034681 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.017179 PA

Season.021580 PA

Last 2 Years.0254023 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.124

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

SEA Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 BF

Season.00088 BF

Last 2 Years.025563 BF

wOBA allowed.331

Hard-Hit %27%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 BF

Season.04370 BF

Last 2 Years.051468 BF

wOBA allowed.286

Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07043 PA

Season.035114 PA

Last 2 Years.019790 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA

Season.00088 PA

Last 2 Years.025563 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.009220 PA

Season.014564 PA

Last 2 Years.0253221 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.127

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04445 PA

Season.013151 PA

Last 2 Years.038985 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA

Season.04370 PA

Last 2 Years.051468 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018171 PA

Season.021482 PA

Last 2 Years.0263560 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.156

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02343 PA

Season.036139 PA

Last 2 Years.040882 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA

Season.00088 PA

Last 2 Years.025563 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.009220 PA

Season.014564 PA

Last 2 Years.0253221 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.164

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02245 PA

Season.013148 PA

Last 2 Years.027989 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA

Season.04370 PA

Last 2 Years.051468 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018171 PA

Season.021482 PA

Last 2 Years.0263560 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.135

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.046

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.15632 PA

Season.082122 PA

Last 2 Years.052598 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA

Season.00088 PA

Last 2 Years.025563 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.009220 PA

Season.014564 PA

Last 2 Years.0253221 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.345

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.203

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.008124 PA

Last 2 Years.016314 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA

Season.00088 PA

Last 2 Years.025563 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.009220 PA

Season.014564 PA

Last 2 Years.0253221 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.091

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA

Season.00012 PA

Last 2 Years.019212 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA

Season.04370 PA

Last 2 Years.051468 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018171 PA

Season.021482 PA

Last 2 Years.0263560 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.117

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA

Season.0003 PA

Last 2 Years.00084 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA

Season.04370 PA

Last 2 Years.051468 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018171 PA

Season.021482 PA

Last 2 Years.0263560 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.108

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA

Season.00013 PA

Last 2 Years.014216 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA

Season.04370 PA

Last 2 Years.051468 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018171 PA

Season.021482 PA

Last 2 Years.0263560 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.098

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.