BOS @ ATL Home Runs matchups · Saturday, May 16, 2026

BOS

Boston Red Sox

3–2

Final

ATL

Atlanta Braves

◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 82°F CloudyWind 3 mph, Calm

BOS Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03132 BF

Season.021143 BF

Last 2 Years.029543 BF

wOBA allowed.230

Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 BF

Season.00074 BF

Last 2 Years.033487 BF

wOBA allowed.274

Hard-Hit %31%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06546 PA

Season.030131 PA

Last 2 Years.033988 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA

Season.021143 PA

Last 2 Years.029543 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048210 PA

Season.035580 PA

Last 2 Years.0272839 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.300

Plate Appearances10

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.173

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA

Season.02482 PA

Last 2 Years.032407 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.00074 PA

Last 2 Years.033487 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.015194 PA

Season.027637 PA

Last 2 Years.0294086 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.139

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA

Season.039128 PA

Last 2 Years.049751 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA

Season.021143 PA

Last 2 Years.029543 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048210 PA

Season.035580 PA

Last 2 Years.0272839 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.185

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.031128 PA

Last 2 Years.036715 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.00074 PA

Last 2 Years.033487 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.015194 PA

Season.027637 PA

Last 2 Years.0294086 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances15

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.139

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA

Season.00074 PA

Last 2 Years.022490 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA

Season.021143 PA

Last 2 Years.029543 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048210 PA

Season.035580 PA

Last 2 Years.0272839 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA

Season.025122 PA

Last 2 Years.024850 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.00074 PA

Last 2 Years.033487 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.015194 PA

Season.027637 PA

Last 2 Years.0294086 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.625

Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.108

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02343 PA

Season.008122 PA

Last 2 Years.022231 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA

Season.021143 PA

Last 2 Years.029543 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048210 PA

Season.035580 PA

Last 2 Years.0272839 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.1

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.00041 PA

Last 2 Years.011189 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.00074 PA

Last 2 Years.033487 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.015194 PA

Season.027637 PA

Last 2 Years.0294086 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.116

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.009115 PA

Last 2 Years.016488 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.00074 PA

Last 2 Years.033487 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.015194 PA

Season.027637 PA

Last 2 Years.0294086 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.087

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

ATL Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 BF

Season.04323 BF

Last 2 Years.05338 BF

wOBA allowed.294

Hard-Hit %19%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02935 BF

Season.01664 BF

Last 2 Years.041123 BF

wOBA allowed.205

Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.042

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.16025 PA

Season.07580 PA

Last 2 Years.057175 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.04323 PA

Last 2 Years.05338 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.032125 PA

Season.045399 PA

Last 2 Years.0302715 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.345

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.23

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA

Season.03878 PA

Last 2 Years.026339 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA

Season.01664 PA

Last 2 Years.041123 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010198 PA

Season.022684 PA

Last 2 Years.0223901 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.135

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07726 PA

Season.04883 PA

Last 2 Years.042434 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.04323 PA

Last 2 Years.05338 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.032125 PA

Season.045399 PA

Last 2 Years.0302715 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.332

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.177

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA

Season.04323 PA

Last 2 Years.019107 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA

Season.01664 PA

Last 2 Years.041123 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010198 PA

Season.022684 PA

Last 2 Years.0223901 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.128

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.00064 PA

Last 2 Years.011275 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA

Season.01664 PA

Last 2 Years.041123 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010198 PA

Season.022684 PA

Last 2 Years.0223901 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2.4× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.096

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA

Season.04346 PA

Last 2 Years.037324 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.04323 PA

Last 2 Years.05338 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.032125 PA

Season.045399 PA

Last 2 Years.0302715 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 7-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.145

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.0007 PA

Last 2 Years.019160 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA

Season.01664 PA

Last 2 Years.041123 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010198 PA

Season.022684 PA

Last 2 Years.0223901 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.113

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.0004 PA

Last 2 Years.0008 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA

Season.01664 PA

Last 2 Years.041123 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010198 PA

Season.022684 PA

Last 2 Years.0223901 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.118

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.0007 PA

Last 2 Years.00034 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA

Season.01664 PA

Last 2 Years.041123 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010198 PA

Season.022684 PA

Last 2 Years.0223901 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.106

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.