SD @ SEA Home Runs matchups · Sunday, May 17, 2026

San Diego Padres

8–3

Final

SEA

Seattle Mariners

◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 61°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, In From LF

SD Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00026 BF

Season.008119 BF

Last 2 Years.029654 BF

wOBA allowed.248

Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 BF

Season.028108 BF

Last 2 Years.025672 BF

wOBA allowed.323

Hard-Hit %28%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00046 PA

Season.000157 PA

Last 2 Years.038834 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.028108 PA

Last 2 Years.025672 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033184 PA

Season.024579 PA

Last 2 Years.0264040 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.145

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA

Season.00019 PA

Last 2 Years.00019 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA

Season.008119 PA

Last 2 Years.029654 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.042189 PA

Season.042619 PA

Last 2 Years.0363777 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.128

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA

Season.057123 PA

Last 2 Years.036798 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA

Season.008119 PA

Last 2 Years.029654 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.042189 PA

Season.042619 PA

Last 2 Years.0363777 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.168

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA

Season.034147 PA

Last 2 Years.039998 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.028108 PA

Last 2 Years.025672 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033184 PA

Season.024579 PA

Last 2 Years.0264040 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.444

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.143

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA

Season.049144 PA

Last 2 Years.029736 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.028108 PA

Last 2 Years.025672 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033184 PA

Season.024579 PA

Last 2 Years.0264040 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182

Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.12

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02343 PA

Season.027147 PA

Last 2 Years.044774 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA

Season.008119 PA

Last 2 Years.029654 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.042189 PA

Season.042619 PA

Last 2 Years.0363777 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.15

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA

Season.038130 PA

Last 2 Years.042622 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.028108 PA

Last 2 Years.025672 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033184 PA

Season.024579 PA

Last 2 Years.0264040 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.364

Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2.6× / ~1.4×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.135

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA

Season.08050 PA

Last 2 Years.022684 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.028108 PA

Last 2 Years.025672 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033184 PA

Season.024579 PA

Last 2 Years.0264040 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.107

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA

Season.00072 PA

Last 2 Years.016508 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.028108 PA

Last 2 Years.025672 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033184 PA

Season.024579 PA

Last 2 Years.0264040 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.295

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.076

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

SEA Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.027298 BF

wOBA allowed.295

Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.029315 BF

wOBA allowed.307

Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA

Season.00081 PA

Last 2 Years.010200 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.027298 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.012254 PA

Season.013668 PA

Last 2 Years.0253692 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.096

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04050 PA

Season.013156 PA

Last 2 Years.037987 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.029315 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025200 PA

Season.023563 PA

Last 2 Years.0283880 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.137

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02148 PA

Season.035144 PA

Last 2 Years.040883 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.027298 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.012254 PA

Season.013668 PA

Last 2 Years.0253692 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances16

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.17

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02049 PA

Season.013152 PA

Last 2 Years.027990 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.029315 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025200 PA

Season.023563 PA

Last 2 Years.0283880 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances16

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.126

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA

Season.00012 PA

Last 2 Years.019212 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.029315 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025200 PA

Season.023563 PA

Last 2 Years.0283880 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.115

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA

Season.008126 PA

Last 2 Years.016316 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.027298 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.012254 PA

Season.013668 PA

Last 2 Years.0253692 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.087

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA

Season.040101 PA

Last 2 Years.043439 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.027298 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.012254 PA

Season.013668 PA

Last 2 Years.0253692 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.139

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA

Season.02836 PA

Last 2 Years.030335 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.029315 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025200 PA

Season.023563 PA

Last 2 Years.0283880 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.160

Plate Appearances25

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.098

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years.027298 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.012254 PA

Season.013668 PA

Last 2 Years.0253692 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.113

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.