MatchWiz
Home Runs · Thursday, May 21, 2026

TOR @ NYY Home Runs matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026

TOR
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
20
Final
NYY
New York Yankees
NYY
Yankee StadiumElevation 55 ftCenter Field 408 ft 64°F CloudyWind 2 mph, Calm

TOR TOR Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 BF
Season.00013 BF
Last 2 Years.024288 BF
wOBA allowed.420
Hard-Hit %40%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 BF
Season.00025 BF
Last 2 Years.0351041 BF
wOBA allowed.262
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.02935 PA
Last 2 Years.039285 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.0351041 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018218 PA
Season.022762 PA
Last 2 Years.0293255 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.147
Plate Appearances34

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.16

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+475
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.04346 PA
Last 2 Years.043304 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.0351041 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018218 PA
Season.022762 PA
Last 2 Years.0293255 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.458
Plate Appearances24

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.173

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+480
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.02049 PA
Last 2 Years.028176 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.024288 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036168 PA
Season.021586 PA
Last 2 Years.0262608 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.300
Plate Appearances10

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.139

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+550
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.02246 PA
Last 2 Years.02246 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.0351041 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018218 PA
Season.022762 PA
Last 2 Years.0293255 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~2.9× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.136

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+380
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13315 PA
Season.03853 PA
Last 2 Years.029350 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.0351041 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018218 PA
Season.022762 PA
Last 2 Years.0293255 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.267
Plate Appearances15

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.12

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+700
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.02246 PA
Last 2 Years.012259 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.024288 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036168 PA
Season.021586 PA
Last 2 Years.0262608 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.092

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.02049 PA
Last 2 Years.010196 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.0351041 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018218 PA
Season.022762 PA
Last 2 Years.0293255 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.067
Plate Appearances15

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 7 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.107

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1000
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.07726 PA
Last 2 Years.07726 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.0351041 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018218 PA
Season.022762 PA
Last 2 Years.0293255 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.149

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.024288 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036168 PA
Season.021586 PA
Last 2 Years.0262608 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.12

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

NYY NYY Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 BF
Season.00046 BF
Last 2 Years.007133 BF
wOBA allowed.327
Hard-Hit %24%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 BF
Season.03655 BF
Last 2 Years.029170 BF
wOBA allowed.251
Hard-Hit %47%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11834 PA
Season.083133 PA
Last 2 Years.053677 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.007133 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA
Season.014624 PA
Last 2 Years.0263325 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.241

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+325
CZRCaesars+320
BOLBetOnline+250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.053

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA
Season.071154 PA
Last 2 Years.0781024 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.03655 PA
Last 2 Years.029170 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011187 PA
Season.021608 PA
Last 2 Years.0294173 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.377
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.312

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+255
BOLBetOnline+225
BRBetRivers+195

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.028143 PA
Last 2 Years.036915 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.007133 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA
Season.014624 PA
Last 2 Years.0263325 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~1.6× / ~2.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.138

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+440
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.030132 PA
Last 2 Years.054795 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.007133 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA
Season.014624 PA
Last 2 Years.0263325 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.161

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+480
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.02737 PA
Last 2 Years.023744 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.03655 PA
Last 2 Years.029170 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011187 PA
Season.021608 PA
Last 2 Years.0294173 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.121

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+480

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.007133 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA
Season.014624 PA
Last 2 Years.0263325 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.131

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+700
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.038106 PA
Last 2 Years.035877 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.007133 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA
Season.014624 PA
Last 2 Years.0263325 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.128

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.024784 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.03655 PA
Last 2 Years.029170 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011187 PA
Season.021608 PA
Last 2 Years.0294173 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.095

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00037 PA
Last 2 Years.017120 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.007133 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024205 PA
Season.014624 PA
Last 2 Years.0263325 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.102

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.