ATL @ MIA Home Runs matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026

ATL

Atlanta Braves

9–3

Final

MIA

Miami Marlins

◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

ATL Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00034 BF

Season.020150 BF

Last 2 Years.031519 BF

wOBA allowed.326

Hard-Hit %31%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 BF

Season.009117 BF

Last 2 Years.020493 BF

wOBA allowed.258

Hard-Hit %26%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA

Season.03628 PA

Last 2 Years.030234 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.009117 PA

Last 2 Years.020493 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.047169 PA

Season.029611 PA

Last 2 Years.0302792 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.146

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA

Season.051117 PA

Last 2 Years.036777 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA

Season.020150 PA

Last 2 Years.031519 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022228 PA

Season.020762 PA

Last 2 Years.0272808 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.318

Plate Appearances22

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.163

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+370

CZRCaesars+370

BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA

Season.077129 PA

Last 2 Years.0491009 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA

Season.020150 PA

Last 2 Years.031519 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022228 PA

Season.020762 PA

Last 2 Years.0272808 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.346

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.065

Plate Appearances31

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.194

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+370

BOLBetOnline+350

BRBetRivers+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA

Season.039129 PA

Last 2 Years.027817 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA

Season.020150 PA

Last 2 Years.031519 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022228 PA

Season.020762 PA

Last 2 Years.0272808 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.314

Plate Appearances51

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.109

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700

BRBetRivers+700

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA

Season.05197 PA

Last 2 Years.030502 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA

Season.020150 PA

Last 2 Years.031519 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022228 PA

Season.020762 PA

Last 2 Years.0272808 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.231

Plate Appearances26

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.142

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750

CZRCaesars+700

BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09432 PA

Season.052135 PA

Last 2 Years.042710 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.009117 PA

Last 2 Years.020493 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.047169 PA

Season.029611 PA

Last 2 Years.0302792 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.135

Plate Appearances37

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.163

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+575

BOLBetOnline+500

CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA

Season.025119 PA

Last 2 Years.016630 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.009117 PA

Last 2 Years.020493 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.047169 PA

Season.029611 PA

Last 2 Years.0302792 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.092

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA

Season.00014 PA

Last 2 Years.024334 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.009117 PA

Last 2 Years.020493 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.047169 PA

Season.029611 PA

Last 2 Years.0302792 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111

Plate Appearances18

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2.1× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.103

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950

BOLBetOnline+900

BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA

Season.0001 PA

Last 2 Years.03727 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.009117 PA

Last 2 Years.020493 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.047169 PA

Season.029611 PA

Last 2 Years.0302792 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.116

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

MIA Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 BF

Season.02737 BF

Last 2 Years.037324 BF

wOBA allowed.262

Hard-Hit %28%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 BF

Season.00021 BF

Last 2 Years.033273 BF

wOBA allowed.340

Hard-Hit %17%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.021

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00041 PA

Season.013159 PA

Last 2 Years.008789 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.02737 PA

Last 2 Years.037324 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025160 PA

Season.024658 PA

Last 2 Years.0273147 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.105

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950

BOLBetOnline+900

BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.057140 PA

Last 2 Years.030464 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.02737 PA

Last 2 Years.037324 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025160 PA

Season.024658 PA

Last 2 Years.0273147 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.147

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750

CZRCaesars+750

BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA

Season.020148 PA

Last 2 Years.021809 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.00021 PA

Last 2 Years.033273 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025197 PA

Season.023727 PA

Last 2 Years.0304344 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.115

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750

BOLBetOnline+700

BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA

Season.01285 PA

Last 2 Years.047600 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.02737 PA

Last 2 Years.037324 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025160 PA

Season.024658 PA

Last 2 Years.0273147 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~2.6× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.164

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500

CZRCaesars+500

BRBetRivers+480

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA

Season.013156 PA

Last 2 Years.013309 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.02737 PA

Last 2 Years.037324 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025160 PA

Season.024658 PA

Last 2 Years.0273147 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.101

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900

CZRCaesars+850

BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.00030 PA

Last 2 Years.031509 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.00021 PA

Last 2 Years.033273 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025197 PA

Season.023727 PA

Last 2 Years.0304344 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.115

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600

BRBetRivers+600

CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.00053 PA

Last 2 Years.027223 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.00021 PA

Last 2 Years.033273 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025197 PA

Season.023727 PA

Last 2 Years.0304344 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.113

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.00021 PA

Last 2 Years.033273 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025197 PA

Season.023727 PA

Last 2 Years.0304344 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.00069 PA

Last 2 Years.010294 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.00021 PA

Last 2 Years.033273 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.025197 PA

Season.023727 PA

Last 2 Years.0304344 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.086

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1050

CZRCaesars+950

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.